Prediction for match Atalanta — Genoa

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On May 2, Atalanta will face Genoa in Serie A. The odds for Atalanta to win are 1.66, a draw is at 4.24, and a victory for Genoa is at 5.67. In terms of probability, Atalanta is given a 59.37% chance to win, a draw is at 23.24%, and Genoa has a 17.38% chance. This reflects Atalanta's clear advantage in terms of winning probability. For total goals, Over 2.5 is at 1.88 and Under 2.5 is at 2.07. Both teams to score: yes is 1.82, no is 1.90. Notably, the individual total for Atalanta Over 1.5 is at 1.71.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atalanta has recorded the following results: on 27.04, Cagliari defeated Atalanta 3-2, on 22.04, Atalanta lost to Lazio 2-3, and on 18.04, Atalanta drew 1-1 with Roma. During the same period, Genoa played as follows: on 26.04, Genoa lost 0-2 to Como, on 19.04, Genoa won 2-1 against Pisa, and on 12.04, Genoa beat Sassuolo 2-1. In their last five matches, Atalanta's possession average is 59.8%, while Genoa's is 52%. Yellow cards: Atalanta averages 1.4, Genoa 1.2. Fouls: 13.4 for Atalanta against 10 for Genoa. Offsides: 3.2 for Atalanta, 1.2 for Genoa. In their last head-to-head on 21.12.2025, Genoa lost to Atalanta 0-1.

Match Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, both teams had Over 2.5 goals occur twice, and Under 2.5 goals three times. Average goals per match for Atalanta is 2.6, for Genoa 2.4. Goals scored: 1.4 for Atalanta, 0.8 for Genoa, goals conceded: 1.2 and 1.6 respectively. In the first half, Over 1.5 goals occurred twice for both teams, the same in the second half. For goal intervals: Atalanta most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (40%), while Genoa scores most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (60%). For goals conceded, Atalanta is vulnerable between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (25% each), while Genoa is most vulnerable between the 61st-75th minutes (38%). Genoa lags significantly in average attacking performance, while Atalanta regularly scores more than one goal per game. Given this data, betting on Atalanta's individual total over 1.5 seems justified, especially considering Genoa's not-so-reliable defense.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Atalanta takes 7.2 corners per match, while Genoa takes 4.8. In the last 5 matches, Atalanta had over 9.5 corners 3 times, and Genoa once. The closest to the average total is 12, with bets available: Over 11.5 corners at 3.10, Under 11.5 at 1.32. Atalanta is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.30. In this case, considering Atalanta's attacking style and high corner stats in recent matches, betting on over 11.5 corners makes sense.