Prediction for match Pisa — Lecce

Match Analysis: Pisa vs Lecce

In Serie A, Pisa will face Lecce on May 1st. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Lecce's victory is priced at 2.60, a draw at 3.11, and Pisa's win at 3.23. The probability distribution is: Lecce - 37.86%, draw - 31.66%, Pisa - 30.48%. Lecce is considered the most likely winner, but the percentage difference between the teams is not significant. Among additional markets, the under 2.5 goals line stands out at 1.58, and both teams to score: no is at 1.72, highlighting expectations of a low-scoring game. The odds for over 2.5 goals are at 2.60, and both teams to score: yes is at 2.02, reflecting bookmakers' cautious outlook and the teams' recent low-scoring performances.

Team Results and Statistics

Pisa lost all their last five matches: 0-1 against Parma (25.04.2026), 1-2 against Genoa (19.04.2026), 0-3 against Roma (10.04.2026), 0-1 against Torino (5.04.2026), and 0-5 against Como (22.03.2026). In the same period, Lecce drew 0-0 with Verona (25.04.2026), 1-1 with Fiorentina (20.04.2026), lost 0-2 to Bologna (12.04.2026), 0-3 to Atalanta (6.04.2026), and 0-1 to Roma (22.03.2026). On average, Pisa had 42.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides in their last five matches. Lecce averaged 43.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last head-to-head on 12.12.2025, Lecce defeated Pisa 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Pisa's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred three times, and under 2.5 twice. Lecce saw over 2.5 goals just once and under 2.5 goals four times. Pisa's average goals scored per match is 0.2, with 2.4 conceded, while Lecce scored 0.2 and conceded 1.4. The average total goals in Pisa's matches is 2.6, and in Lecce's matches, it's 1.6. In terms of halves, Pisa had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five, and only once in the second half. Lecce did not have over 1.5 goals in the first half and had it once in the second half out of five matches. Pisa scores most frequently in the intervals of 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (20% each), while Lecce scores in the intervals of 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Pisa concedes most frequently in the intervals of 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Lecce concedes in the 16-30 interval (50%). Considering the low scoring averages and high frequency of unders for Lecce, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.58 seems most logical. The options for both teams to score: no (1.72) and individual totals also confirm low scoring, but the primary choice is under 2.5 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Pisa averages 2.8 corners per match, and Lecce 3.8. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for both teams. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (6.6) is 7.5: total corners over 7.5 is at 1.35, under 7.5 at 2.84. There's also a line at 8.5: over 8.5 at 1.65, under 8.5 at 2.11. Pisa is favored for corners with odds of 2.02. Considering the average values and frequency, a bet on total corners over 7.5 or 8.5 seems justified, but there is no significant surplus in corners. In individual corner lines, Pisa's averages are lower than Lecce's, which should also be considered when choosing bets on statistics.