Prediction for match Atalanta — Inter, 28.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A, Atalanta will face Inter on December 28, 2025. According to the 1X2 odds, Inter is the favorite, with odds of 2.06 for their victory, reflecting a calculated probability of 47.79%. A draw is priced at 3.66 (26.90%), while Atalanta's win is at 3.89 (25.31%). This setup indicates the analysts' confidence in Inter's strength, but the narrow gap between a draw and an Atalanta win adds intrigue. The goal total options also look promising: over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.84, and both teams to score is at 1.63.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atalanta has an average possession of 61.6%, receives 0.8 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Inter holds possession 53.6% of the time, gets 1.4 yellow cards, commits 15 fouls, and is offside 2.2 times. Atalanta's recent matches: December 21, 2025 - Genoa vs. Atalanta 0-1, December 13, 2025 - Atalanta vs. Cagliari 2-1, December 9, 2025 - Atalanta vs. Chelsea 2-1. Inter's recent matches: December 19, 2025 - Bologna vs. Inter 4-3, December 14, 2025 - Genoa vs. Inter 1-2, December 9, 2025 - Inter vs. Liverpool 0-1. In their head-to-head on March 16, 2025, Atalanta lost to Inter 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Atalanta's matches went over 2.5 goals four times, while Inter's did so three times. Atalanta averages 3 goals per match, scoring 2 and conceding 1 on average, while Inter averages 3.2 goals per match, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.8. Atalanta had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five games, but four times in the second half. Inter had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times, and twice in the second half. Atalanta tends to score and concede most frequently between the 76th and 90th minutes (36% and 50% respectively), while Inter's goals are evenly distributed with 18% in four intervals from the 16th to the 90th minute, conceding most often in the first 15 minutes (40%). This profile, with regular over 2.5 goal outcomes and high goal averages, supports a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.84.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Both teams average 6 corners per match, resulting in a combined total of 12. In Atalanta's last five games, the total corners exceeded 9.5 three times, while for Inter, it happened twice. For a corner total of 9.5, there are both options: over 9.5 at 2.03, under 9.5 at 1.73. Inter is the favorite for corners with odds of 2.00. Given that both teams consistently earn 6 corners, it's logical to consider the over 9.5 corners option, especially if an active second half is expected.