Prediction for match Athletic Club — PSG, 10.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On December 10, 2025, in the UEFA Champions League, Athletic Club will face PSG. According to the odds, PSG is the favorite: the odds for the French club's victory are 1.62, which corresponds to a 60.69% probability. A draw is priced at 4.32 (22.76%), while Athletic Club's win is given at 5.94 (16.55%). Such a disparity in chances indicates a significant advantage for PSG in the bookmakers' pre-match assessments. It's worth noting that the odds for over 2.5 goals are at 1.84, and for "both teams to score: yes" at 1.80, suggesting a tendency towards a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Athletic Club has had 41.2% possession, averaging 2.4 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. PSG looks more confident in these metrics: 65.4% possession, 1 yellow card, 10 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match. Athletic Club's last three games were as follows: December 6 against Atletico Madrid (1-0), December 3 against Real Madrid (0-3), and November 29 against Levante (2-0). PSG's last three matches were: December 6 against Rennes (5-0), November 29 against Monaco (0-1), and November 26 against Tottenham (5-3). These results highlight PSG's attacking potential and Athletic Club's more cautious style.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals over 5 matches, Athletic Club had over 2.5 goals twice, with three unders. PSG had over 2.5 goals in four out of five matches, with only one under. The average number of goals in Athletic Club's matches is 2, while PSG's is 4.4. Athletic Club averages 0.6 goals scored, while PSG averages 3.2, indicating a difference in attacking potential. Athletic Club concedes an average of 1.4, while PSG concedes 1.2. In the first half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in three out of five matches, but in the second half, only PSG had over 1.5 goals in four out of five, while Athletic Club managed it only once. In terms of goal intervals, Athletic Club most often scores between 76-90 minutes (40%) and concedes mainly in the first 15 minutes (40%) and from 31 to 45 minutes (40%). PSG most frequently scores between 61-75 (25%) and 76-90 (25%), and concedes mainly from 31 to 45 minutes (33%). Given PSG's high scoring and attacking profile, along with Athletic Club's less reliable defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.84 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Athletic Club averages 4.8 corners per match, while PSG averages 5.6. In the last five games, Athletic Club had over 9.5 corners three times, while PSG did so four times out of five. Considering the combined average corners of both teams (10.4), the closest total with odds is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.89, under 9.5 at 1.85. For the outcome on corners, PSG is favored with odds of 1.47. Based on the statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given PSG's attacking style and the frequent occurrence of this total for both teams.