Prediction for match Atlas — Guadalajara

Match Analysis: Atlas vs Guadalajara

In Liga MX, Atlas will face Guadalajara on March 8. The odds for the match are as follows: Atlas win at 4.38, draw at 3.56, Guadalajara win at 1.77. The probabilities are distributed as: Atlas - 21.25%, draw - 26.15%, Guadalajara - 52.60%. Guadalajara is considered the favorite according to the odds and percentages, but both teams come into the match with interesting statistics in terms of scoring. The betting line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing for various betting approaches for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atlas played as follows: March 5 - Atlas vs Tijuana 2-1, February 28 - Juarez vs Atlas 3-1, February 21 - Atlas vs Atletico San Luis 3-2. Guadalajara's last three matches were: February 28 - Toluca vs Guadalajara 2-0, February 22 - Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara 2-1, February 15 - Guadalajara vs Club America 1-0. In their head-to-head on January 4, Atlas and Guadalajara drew 0-0. Secondary statistics show: Atlas averages 56.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per match; Guadalajara averages 56% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. These figures indicate high intensity and discipline from both teams. In a five-match series, Atlas averages 2 yellow cards per game, while Guadalajara averages 3, which could influence the match dynamics.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Atlas has seen the total go over 2.5 goals in all 5 games, while Guadalajara has done so in 3 out of 5. The average number of goals in Atlas matches is 4, while Guadalajara's is 2.8. For goals scored: Atlas - 1.8, Guadalajara - 1.4; for goals conceded: Atlas - 2.2, Guadalajara - 1.4. In the first half, the total over 1.5 was achieved by Atlas 4 times out of 5, and by Guadalajara 3 out of 5. In the second half, Atlas had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Guadalajara 2 out of 5. Both teams most frequently score between the 31st and 45th minutes: Atlas - 31%, Guadalajara - 38%. They concede in the same interval: Atlas - 43%, Guadalajara - 33%. This goal and timing dynamic supports a bet on over 2.5 goals, which is at 1.89. Both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, especially Atlas, where the total over 2.5 was recorded in all 5 matches, and the average number of goals per game for both teams exceeds 2.5. Activity by halves is also notable, especially towards the end of the first half, further supporting arguments for high scoring.

Corner Totals Analysis

For average corners per game: Atlas - 3.6, Guadalajara - 3.2. In the last 5 matches, neither team has surpassed a total of over 9.5 corners. The closest total to their averages is 7.5, with a couple of bets available: over 7.5 corners is at 1.32, under 7.5 at 3.00. There's also a total of 8.5: over 8.5 at 1.58, under 8.5 at 2.17. For corner outcomes, Guadalajara is favored with odds of 1.65. Given the average corner productivity and the absence of high total passes, a bet on over 7.5 corners seems logical, but a large number of corners is not expected. Both teams are not prone to frequent corner kicks, as evidenced by zero passes of the 9.5 total in their five-match series.