Prediction for match Atlas — Tigres UANL

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX on April 23, Atlas will face Tigres UANL. According to the 1X2 odds, Tigres UANL is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.80, corresponding to a 51.76% chance. A draw is priced at 3.48 (26.77%), while an Atlas win is at 4.34 (21.47%). The odds suggest that bookmakers expect Tigres UANL to have the upper hand, though draws and Atlas victories also have some backing. The betting line offers extended goal totals, both teams to score, and individual team stats, adding interest to the betting options.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at recent matches, Atlas played as follows in their last three games: April 19, 2026 - Santos Laguna vs Atlas - 0-1, April 12, 2026 - Atlas vs Monterrey - 0-0, April 5, 2026 - Leon vs Atlas - 2-0. During the same period, Tigres UANL had these matches: April 18, 2026 - Necaxa vs Tigres UANL - 1-1, April 16, 2026 - Seattle Sounders vs Tigres UANL - 3-1, April 11, 2026 - Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara - 4-1. On average over the last five games, Atlas has 44% possession, commits 11.8 fouls, receives 2.4 yellow cards, and is caught offside twice per match. Tigres UANL has higher possession at 50.8%, commits 12.8 fouls, receives 2.4 yellow cards, and is caught offside 0.8 times. In their head-to-head on September 25, 2025, Tigres UANL defeated Atlas 2-0. These stats highlight differences in playing style and discipline, helping to assess who might control the game and commit more fouls.

How Many Goals in Atlas vs Tigres UANL Match

In their last five matches, Atlas has shown a strong under profile: none of the games had over 2.5 goals, with all 5 ending under. The average goals in Atlas matches is just 1, with the team scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.6 per game. Tigres UANL is the opposite: in 2 of 5 matches, the total exceeded 2.5, with an average total of 2.8 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. For Atlas, only 1 of 5 games in the second half had over 1.5 goals, and none in the first half had two or more goals. For Tigres UANL, 3 of 5 games in the second half had over 1.5 goals, and 2 of 5 in the first half. Atlas tends to score late (76-90 minutes, 50%) and concedes either in the mid-first half (16-30, 50%) or late (76-90, 50%). Tigres UANL scores evenly: 25% in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 intervals, and concedes most in the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 intervals (33% each). Considering Atlas's low-scoring nature and Tigres UANL's more active profile, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.78 seems logical: Atlas has a clear under profile, and Tigres UANL hasn't had consistent over 2.5 series. The 'both teams to score: no' option is also supported by Atlas's low scoring average, but the under 2.5 odds are better and backed by stats.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over five matches, Atlas takes 3.6 corners, Tigres UANL 5.2, totaling 8.8. In their last five games, Atlas had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Tigres UANL once. The line offers a total corners bet of 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.87, under 9.5 also at 1.87. Tigres UANL is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.65. Based on the teams' average activity and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but it's worth noting that Atlas more frequently exceeds this threshold, while Tigres UANL does so less often. A bet on Tigres UANL winning the corner count is also worth considering, given their average of 5.2 per game.