Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Espanyol

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

The La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Espanyol is set for 21.02.2026. Bookmakers favor Atletico Madrid, offering odds of 1.54 for their victory, 4.37 for a draw, and 7.41 for an Espanyol win. Probability assessments give Atletico Madrid a 64.09% chance of winning, a draw at 22.59%, and Espanyol at 13.32%. The odds for over 2.5 goals stand at 1.92, indicating high expectations for scoring in this match. Meanwhile, the odds for under 2.5 goals are 2.02, with both teams to score: yes at 1.95, no at 1.78. Individual total options: Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals is at 1.64, and Espanyol over 0.5 goals is at 1.72.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atletico Madrid has averaged 51.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Espanyol holds possession 49.2% of the time, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per match. Atletico Madrid's last three games: 18.02.2026 Club Brugge - Atletico Madrid 3-3, 15.02.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Atletico Madrid 3-0, 12.02.2026 Atletico Madrid - Barcelona 4-0. Espanyol's recent matches: 14.02.2026 Espanyol - Celta 2-2, 09.02.2026 Villarreal - Espanyol 4-1, 30.01.2026 Espanyol - Alaves 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 17.08.2025, Espanyol defeated Atletico Madrid 2-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Atletico Madrid - Espanyol Match

Both teams have shown a knack for scoring in their last five matches: Atletico Madrid and Espanyol have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games. The average number of goals in matches involving both teams is 3.8, with Atletico Madrid averaging 2.4 and Espanyol 1.2. By halves, Atletico Madrid had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 out of 5 times, and in the second half 2 out of 5. Espanyol had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times, and in the second half 3 out of 5. Atletico Madrid most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%), while Espanyol scores most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (30%). Atletico Madrid concedes goals evenly across four intervals (22% each), while Espanyol concedes 44% of their goals in the last 15 minutes. Given the high scoring nature of both teams and frequent over 2.5 outcomes, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Atletico Madrid averages 6.2 corners over 5 matches, while Espanyol averages 5.2. In a five-game series, Atletico Madrid had over 9.5 corners 4 times, and Espanyol once. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the combined average (11.4) is 11.5: odds for over 11.5 are 2.71, and under 11.5 are 1.38. Atletico Madrid is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.25. Based on statistics, considering the over 11.5 corners option is logical, given both teams' high averages and Atletico Madrid's frequent outcomes.