Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Getafe

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Getafe is set for 14.03.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Atletico Madrid's victory is priced at 1.64, a draw at 3.71, and a win for Getafe at 7.31. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Atletico Madrid - 60.01%, draw - 26.53%, Getafe - 13.46%. Atletico Madrid is the favorite based on the odds and probabilities, but Getafe's defensive performances in recent matches have been quite impressive. This match is expected to be a battle between Atletico Madrid's attacking potential and Getafe's organized defensive play.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atletico Madrid has an average possession of 49.2%, receives 1 yellow card, commits 7.8 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides per game. Getafe, over the same period, shows 33.4% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. In Atletico Madrid's last three matches: 10.03.2026 Atletico Madrid - Tottenham 5-2, 07.03.2026 Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad 3-2, 03.03.2026 Barcelona - Atletico Madrid 3-0. For Getafe: 08.03.2026 Getafe - Real Betis 2-0, 02.03.2026 Real Madrid - Getafe 0-1, 22.02.2026 Getafe - Sevilla 0-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on 23.11.2025: Getafe - Atletico Madrid 0-1.

Goals According to Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Atletico Madrid has seen the total over 2.5 goals in 4 games, with only 1 game under, while Getafe has the opposite - 1 over and 4 under. The average number of goals in Atletico Madrid's matches during this period is 4.2, while for Getafe, it's 1.8. Atletico Madrid scores an average of 2.6 goals and concedes 1.6, while Getafe scores 1.4 and concedes just 0.4. By halves, Atletico Madrid has 4 out of 5 games with a total over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second. Getafe has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. For goal intervals: Atletico Madrid most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (27%), while Getafe scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%). Atletico Madrid concedes most often between the 76th and 90th minute (33%), while Getafe concedes between the 61st and 75th (40%). Given Atletico Madrid's high scoring profile and Getafe's strong defense, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: No" at 1.51 seems the most logical. Atletico Madrid has a pronounced over-profile, but Getafe's defense in recent matches has been extremely reliable, reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Atletico Madrid averages 3.4 corners per match, while Getafe averages 2.6. In the last five games, both teams have had two matches with a total over 9.5 corners. The total closest to the sum of average figures (6) is 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.29, under 7.5 at 3.04. Also, consider the total of 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.57, under 8.5 at 2.19. For corners, Atletico Madrid is the favorite with odds of 1.25. Given the low average values for corners, it's logical to expect the match not to be record-breaking in this aspect, and a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified.