Prediction for match Celta — Freiburg

Match Preview

The Europa League match between Celta and Freiburg is scheduled for 16.04.2026. The odds for a Celta victory are 2.04, a draw is at 3.70, and a Freiburg win is at 3.91. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Celta - 48.24%, draw - 26.60%, Freiburg - 25.17%. Celta is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but Freiburg also has its chances, making this an intriguing match for betting on goal totals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Celta lost to Real Oviedo 0-3, was defeated by Freiburg 0-3, and beat Valencia 3-2. Freiburg, in their last three games, beat Mainz 05 with a score of 1-0, thrashed Celta 3-0, and lost to Bayern 2-3. In their head-to-head match on 09.04.2026, Freiburg confidently defeated Celta 3-0. Over the last five games, Celta averages 58.8% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 14.8 fouls, and records 1.6 offsides. Freiburg, in the same parameters, has 45.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. These stats suggest that Celta plays more aggressively and controls the ball, while Freiburg is more compact and commits fewer fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Celta vs Freiburg

In their last five matches, both teams have shown a strong over-profile. Celta's matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, and Freiburg's matches have also seen this in 4 out of 5. The average number of goals in Celta's matches is 4, and for Freiburg, it's 3.6. In terms of goals scored: Celta averages 1.6, Freiburg 2.6, while Celta concedes 2.4, and Freiburg only 1. In terms of halves, Celta has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five and the same in the second half, while Freiburg has seen it twice in the first half and three times in the second half. Celta scores most frequently in each segment of the first half (25%) and at the end (76-90 minutes - 25%), while Freiburg scores most from the 16th to 30th minute and from the 46th to 60th minute (27% each). Celta concedes most often at the beginning of the second half (46-60 minutes - 33%), while Freiburg concedes most at the end (76-90 minutes - 57%). Given the high scoring nature of both teams and frequent over 2.5 totals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Celta averages 2.8 corners per match, and Freiburg averages 3.4. In the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 has not occurred for Celta and only twice for Freiburg. Among the available corner lines, the one closest to the average total (6.2) would be 6.5, but since this line is unavailable, the closest total is 9.5. However, the frequency of going over 9.5 is low for both teams. Cautious bets on under 9.5 corners could be considered, given the recent match statistics. Overall, neither team stands out for the number of corners taken, so a high number of corners shouldn't be expected.