Prediction for match Nottingham Forest — Porto

Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Porto

On April 16, in the Europa League, Nottingham Forest will face Porto. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.35 for a Nottingham Forest win, 3.31 for a draw, and 3.48 for a Porto victory. The probability distribution is as follows: Nottingham Forest 41.92%, draw 29.76%, and Porto 28.31%. Based on these figures, the English club is seen as the favorite, though the margin is not significant. The total goals market is also intriguing: over 2.0 goals is priced at 1.68, while over 2.25 is at 1.97. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.93, no at 1.80. Nottingham Forest's individual total over 1 is set at 1.56, while Porto's is at 2.08.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Nottingham Forest played as follows: April 12, 2026 - Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa - 1-1, April 9, 2026 - Porto vs Nottingham Forest - 1-1, March 22, 2026 - Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest - 0-3. During the same period, Porto's results were: April 12, 2026 - Estoril vs Porto - 1-3, April 9, 2026 - Porto vs Nottingham Forest - 1-1, April 4, 2026 - Porto vs Famalicão - 2-2. In a five-match series, Nottingham Forest averages: 45% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Porto averages 44.4% possession, 3 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on April 9, 2026, the teams drew 1-1, and before that, on October 23, 2025, Nottingham Forest won 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Nottingham Forest averages 2 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6. Porto's average total is 3, scoring 2 and conceding 1. In their last five matches, Nottingham Forest's games went over 2.5 goals 2 times, under 3 times. Porto had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5, under in 2. For first-half goals over 1.5, both teams had 2 out of 5, while in the second half, Nottingham Forest had 2 out of 5, and Porto had 3 out of 5. Nottingham Forest most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 minute intervals, each at 33%. Porto often scores late, in the 76-90 minute interval (29%). For goals conceded, Nottingham Forest struggles in the 31-45 minute interval (29%), while Porto has issues in three intervals: 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 (each 25%). Considering both teams' average scoring, Porto's frequent over 2.5 totals, and their consistent scoring, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.68 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In a five-match series, Nottingham Forest averages 5.6 corners, Porto 5. For total corners over 9.5, Nottingham Forest achieved this 3 times out of 5, Porto 1 out of 5. The market offers odds on total corners 10.5: over 10.5 at 2.38, under 10.5 at 1.53. Nottingham Forest is favored in corners with odds of 2.25. Expect both teams to be active in terms of corners, especially given their average numbers. A bet on over 10.5 corners seems logical, considering Nottingham Forest's stats and Porto's attacking style.