Prediction for match Atletico Mineiro — Flamengo

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A, Atletico Mineiro faces Flamengo on April 26, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Flamengo is the favorite with odds of 2.05 for their win, 3.38 for a draw, and 3.89 for Atletico Mineiro's victory. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 46.87% for Flamengo's win, 28.43% for a draw, and 24.70% for Atletico Mineiro. This setup reflects Flamengo's advantage in attacking metrics and consistency in recent matches. Additionally, the odds for over 2.5 goals are set at 2.14, and for both teams to score 'yes' at 1.86, indicating potential high scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Atletico Mineiro's last three matches, they defeated Ceara 2-1 (April 23, 2026), lost to Coritiba 0-2 (April 19, 2026), and beat Juventude 2-1 (April 16, 2026). In their last three encounters, Flamengo was stronger than Vitoria 2-1 (April 23, 2026), Bahia 2-0 (April 19, 2026), and Independiente Medellin 4-1 (April 17, 2026). In a five-match series, Atletico Mineiro's average ball possession is 62.4%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Flamengo's stats show 52.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. The last head-to-head match on November 26, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have played over 2.5 goals three times. Atletico Mineiro averages 2.4 goals per match, while Flamengo averages 3. Atletico Mineiro scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.4, whereas Flamengo is highly productive with 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded. In the first half, Atletico Mineiro had over 1.5 goals once out of five, while Flamengo had it twice. In the second half, Atletico Mineiro had two instances of over 1.5, and Flamengo had three. Goal intervals show Atletico Mineiro most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (33%) and concedes evenly in three intervals - 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 (33% each). Flamengo scores most often from 76 to 90 minutes (33%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes and from 46 to 60 (33% each). This profile, along with the frequency of over 2.5 goals, supports the bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.14. Flamengo consistently scores at least twice per match, and Atletico Mineiro regularly concedes, further strengthening the case for high scoring.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, over the last five matches, Atletico Mineiro takes 6.2 corners, and Flamengo 4.8. For the total over 9.5 corners, Atletico Mineiro had three successes out of five, while Flamengo had only one. Among the corner markets, the total of 9.5 is closest to the average values: over 9.5 is given at 1.76, and under at 1.93. In the corner market, Flamengo is the favorite with odds of 1.83. Given Atletico Mineiro's high activity in corner deliveries and Flamengo's moderate figures, it's logical to expect the total corners to be around 9-10. Therefore, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering both teams' average figures and Atletico Mineiro's frequency of success.