Prediction for match Palmeiras — Santos

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Brazil's Serie A on May 2, 2026, Palmeiras will face Santos. The odds for a Palmeiras victory are set at 1.52, a draw at 4.22, and a Santos win at 6.74. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: 63.06% for a Palmeiras win, 22.71% for a draw, and 14.22% for a Santos victory. The betting line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, but Palmeiras stands out as the favorite according to the odds and percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Palmeiras has an average ball possession of 58.4%, records 1.4 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Santos, in the same period, shows 53.8% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Palmeiras' last three matches were: 30.04.2026 - Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras - 1-1, 26.04.2026 - RB Bragantino vs Palmeiras - 0-1, 23.04.2026 - Palmeiras vs Jacuipense - 3-0. Santos' last three matches were: 28.04.2026 - San Lorenzo vs Santos - 1-1, 25.04.2026 - Bahia vs Santos - 2-2, 22.04.2026 - Santos vs Coritiba - 0-0. The last head-to-head match was on 14.01.2026: Palmeiras vs Santos - 1-0.

How Many Goals in the Palmeiras vs Santos Match

In the last five games, Palmeiras has an average total goal count of 2.0, while Santos has 2.6. Palmeiras scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 0.4, while Santos scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4. The total over 2.5 goals was hit 2 out of 5 times for both teams. By halves, Palmeiras had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times, and 0 out of 5 in the second half, while Santos had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 out of 5 times and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Palmeiras most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (29%) and concedes in the 31-45 interval (67%). Santos has the highest scoring frequency at the start (0-15 - 33%) and end (76-90 - 33%), and concedes most often in the 31-45 interval (43%). Based on this data, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified: neither team shows consistent high-scoring profiles, average goal figures do not exceed 2.6, and over 2.5 goals are not dominant. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.92.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Palmeiras averages 8 corners per match, while Santos averages 5.2. In the last five games, Palmeiras' total over 9.5 corners occurred 4 times, and Santos' 2 times. Considering a corner total of 13.5, both options are available in the line: over 13.5 corners - 3.78, under 13.5 corners - 1.22. A clear victory on corners is not evident, but based on average activity, Palmeiras takes more. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 13.5 corners, focusing on the average figures of both teams and the frequency of hitting this mark by Palmeiras.