Prediction for match Atletico Mineiro — Palmeiras, 28.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A, Atletico Mineiro will face Palmeiras on January 28, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Palmeiras is the favorite with odds of 2.41, Atletico Mineiro is at 3.13, and a draw is at 3.25. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Palmeiras 39.82%, Atletico Mineiro 30.66%, draw 29.53%. This reflects the balance of power between the teams and indicates a slight advantage for Palmeiras according to the bookmakers. The betting line also offers various options on totals and individual performances, allowing for an optimal bet on scoring outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atletico Mineiro played as follows: December 7, 2025, against Vasco da Gama - 5:0, December 4, 2025, against Palmeiras - 0:3, November 30, 2025, against Fortaleza - 0:1. Palmeiras' results in the last three games were: January 24, 2026, against São Paulo - 3:1, January 20, 2026, against Novorizontino - 0:4, January 14, 2026, against Santos - 1:0. In the head-to-head meeting on December 4, 2025, Atletico Mineiro lost to Palmeiras 0-3. In a five-match series, Atletico Mineiro averages 53.8% possession, 1.4 offsides, 12.8 fouls per game, and receives 1.4 yellow cards. Palmeiras averages 49% possession, 0.8 offsides, 10.8 fouls, and 1.2 yellow cards per match. These figures show that both teams play quite disciplined and try to control the ball, although Atletico Mineiro commits more fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras

In the last five matches, Atletico Mineiro's over 2.5 total occurred 2 times, under 3 times. Palmeiras' over 2.5 total happened 4 times, under once. On average, over five games, Atletico Mineiro scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1, while Palmeiras scores 2 and concedes 1.2, giving a total average of 2.2 versus 3.2 respectively. In the first half, Atletico Mineiro had over 1.5 total twice, and Palmeiras four times. In the second half, Atletico Mineiro had over 1.5 total only once, and Palmeiras twice. Regarding goal intervals, Atletico Mineiro most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (43%) and concedes most often in the final minutes (76-90 minutes, 50%). Palmeiras most frequently scores also between 31-45 minutes (33%) and concedes at the start of the match (0-15 and 16-30 minutes, 29% each). This statistic indicates Palmeiras' tendency for high-scoring matches, while Atletico Mineiro's figures are closer to average. Overall, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.03 seems justified, considering Palmeiras' attacking profile and their frequent over 2.5 occurrences.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last five matches, Atletico Mineiro averages 4.8 corners, Palmeiras 4.4. The over 9.5 corners total occurred 2 times for Atletico Mineiro and 4 times for Palmeiras out of 5 matches. Looking at the odds, both over and under 9.5 corners are available, but the average combined corners for both teams is about 9.2 per game. This suggests that a bet on corners closer to 9.5 could be interesting for those focusing on recent match statistics. Overall, both teams can create chances and earn corners, especially Palmeiras, who has frequently exceeded the over 9.5 corners total in recent games.