Prediction for match Atletico Paranaense — Cruzeiro

Match Analysis: Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro

In Brazil's Serie A, Atletico Paranaense and Cruzeiro will face off on 18.03.2026. The odds for Atletico Paranaense to win are 2.36, with a probability of 40.70%. Cruzeiro's odds for success are 3.21, with a probability of 29.92%. A draw is priced at 3.27, with a probability of 29.37%. Therefore, based on the odds and percentages, Atletico Paranaense is considered the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't too large, promising a competitive match. Options for totals and both teams to score are also available, allowing for different analytical approaches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atletico Paranaense played as follows: 15.03.2026 - Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense - 3-2, 25.02.2026 - RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense - 1-1, 19.02.2026 - Atletico Paranaense vs Corinthians - 0-1. Cruzeiro's last three results were: 15.03.2026 - Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama - 3-3, 12.03.2026 - Flamengo vs Cruzeiro - 2-0, 25.02.2026 - Cruzeiro vs Corinthians - 1-1. On average, in their last five matches, Atletico Paranaense has 44.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Cruzeiro's stats are: 55.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In the head-to-head on 26.10.2024, Atletico Paranaense defeated Cruzeiro 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Atletico Paranaense's average total goals are 2.4, while Cruzeiro's are 3.4. Atletico Paranaense scores and concedes 1.2 goals each, while Cruzeiro scores 1.4 and concedes 2. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Atletico Paranaense has 2 out of 5 matches over, Cruzeiro has 3 out of 5 over. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Atletico Paranaense has 3 out of 5, Cruzeiro has 2 out of 5. In the second half, Atletico Paranaense has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Cruzeiro has 2 out of 5. Atletico Paranaense most frequently scores in the intervals of 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Cruzeiro scores most in the first 15 minutes (33%). Atletico Paranaense concedes most in the first 30 minutes (33%), Cruzeiro in the second half: 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (38% each). These stats indicate that both teams are capable of scoring, with Cruzeiro showing a tendency for high-scoring games recently. Both teams have relatively high averages for goals scored and conceded, with over 2.5 goals occurring 5 times out of 10 between them. Considering this, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.52 seems justified: two goals would result in a push, while three or more would win.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Atletico Paranaense averages 5 corners per match, Cruzeiro 5.8. In the last five matches, the total over 9.5 corners occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams. Looking at the odds, over 10.5 corners is priced at 1.99, while under 10.5 is 1.73. You can also consider over 9.5 at 1.62 and under 9.5 at 2.15. For the outcome on corners, Atletico Paranaense is the favorite with odds of 1.65. Based on average values and frequencies, expecting 10-11 corners in this match seems logical, and a bet on over 9.5 corners looks justified. Also, individual averages show Atletico Paranaense with 5 and Cruzeiro with 5.8, supporting the high total corners trend.