Prediction for match Auxerre — Lille

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Lille on December 14th, the odds for the outcomes are quite straightforward. Lille's victory is priced at 1.84, a draw is at 3.84, and an Auxerre win is at 4.72. The probabilities for Lille's win are 53.50%, a draw is at 25.64%, and Auxerre's chances are at 20.86%. Thus, Lille is considered the favorite in this matchup according to the bookmakers and probability distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the team forms, Auxerre averages 43% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides in their last five matches. Lille, over the same period, shows 54% possession, 1.6 yellows, 9.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In Auxerre's last three matches: 07.12 - Auxerre 3-1 Metz, 29.11 - Paris FC 1-1 Auxerre, 23.11 - Auxerre 0-0 Lyon. For Lille: 11.12 - Young Boys 1-0 Lille, 05.12 - Lille 1-0 Marseille, 30.11 - Le Havre 0-1 Lille. In their last head-to-head on 20.04, Lille defeated Auxerre 3-1.

Goals Statistics

In terms of goals, Auxerre averages 1.8 total goals in their last five matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. Lille's figures are higher: 2.6 goals per game, with 2 scored and 0.6 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, Auxerre has 1 in 5, Lille has 2 in 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, in the second half, Lille had 2 out of 5, Auxerre 1 out of 5. Auxerre most frequently scores and concedes between 31-45 minutes (43% and 67% respectively), while Lille tends to score and concede late in the game - 76-90 minutes (36% and 67%). Considering Lille's stable scoring and conceding rates and Auxerre's low scoring, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems logical. Auxerre rarely exceeds two goals in recent matches, and Lille is solid defensively.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Both teams average 4.2 corners per game over their last five matches. Over 9.5 corners occurred once in five games for each team. Among the odds for total corners, there's a pair for 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.65, under at 2.16. Also, Lille to win on corners is at 1.60. Considering the average activity in corners and infrequent high totals, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified, but no major spikes in this metric are observed.