Prediction for match Auxerre — Metz

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Metz

The French Ligue 1 continues to offer intriguing matchups, and the encounter between Auxerre and Metz, scheduled for December 7, 2025, is no exception. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Auxerre win at 2.09, draw at 3.64, and Metz win at 3.80. According to the probabilities, Auxerre has a 47.08% chance of winning, a draw is at 27.03%, and Metz has a 25.89% chance. These numbers highlight Auxerre as the most likely winner, although the margin is not significant. Options for betting on totals and both teams to score are also available, but the main focus is on the match outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the teams' performances in the last five matches, Auxerre has an average possession percentage of 42.4, with the team recording 1.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Metz shows a higher possession percentage at 47.8, as well as 2.2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides on average. In the last three matches, Auxerre played as follows: November 29 - Paris FC - Auxerre 1-1, November 23 - Auxerre - Lyon 0-0, November 9 - Angers - Auxerre 2-0. Metz during the same period: November 28 - Metz - Rennes 0-1, November 23 - Brest - Metz 3-2, November 9 - Metz - Nice 2-1. In their last head-to-head meeting on December 9, 2022, Metz lost to Auxerre 1-5.

Goals Statistics

In a five-match series, Auxerre has an average total of 1.6 goals per match, scoring only 0.2 goals per game and conceding 1.4. Metz has a higher average of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals frequency, Auxerre has only 1 out of 5 matches over, while Metz has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Auxerre has 1 out of 5 matches over 1.5, and Metz also has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Auxerre has 2 out of 5 matches over 1.5, while Metz has 4 out of 5. Regarding goal intervals: Auxerre most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (43%), while Metz scores late between the 76th and 90th minute (63%). Auxerre concedes equally often between the 16th-30th and 31st-45th minutes (50% each), while Metz's most vulnerable period is the 76th-90th minute (50%). Considering Auxerre's low scoring rate and only moderate figures from Metz, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems most justified. The odds for this event are 1.93.

Corners in the Match

The average number of corners for Auxerre over five matches is 3.8, and for Metz, it's 4.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for both teams is 1 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (8) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.48, under 8.5 at 2.40. Auxerre is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.49. Based on the statistics, the match does not promise a large number of corners, and a bet on under 8.5 corners might be appealing for those interested in low total outcomes in this category.