Prediction for match Avai — Ponte Preta

Match Analysis: Avai vs Ponte Preta

In Brazil's Serie B on April 18, 2026, Avai will face Ponte Preta. The main odds for the outcomes are as follows: Avai's win is at 1.70, a draw is priced at 3.38, and Ponte Preta's victory is at 5.26. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Avai - 54.76%, draw - 27.54%, Ponte Preta - 17.70%. Avai is considered the favorite based on the odds and percentages, which is highlighted by the significant gap in winning chances between the teams. These figures set the overall tone among bookmakers for the upcoming match and provide a basis for further analysis.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Avai has an average ball possession of 44%, with 3.8 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. Ponte Preta's averages are as follows: ball possession - 47.2%, yellow cards - 2, fouls - 16.6, offsides - 2. Looking at Avai's last three matches: April 11, 2026 - Sport Recife vs Avai - 2-2, April 5, 2026 - Avai vs Operario - 0-0, April 2, 2026 - CRB vs Avai - 0-1. Ponte Preta's last three matches: April 11, 2026 - Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova - 0-1, April 4, 2026 - Nautico Recife vs Ponte Preta - 1-0, April 2, 2026 - Ponte Preta vs Ceara - 1-1. In their last head-to-head on November 22, 2024, Avai defeated Ponte Preta 2-1.

Goals Statistics

In a five-match series, Avai averages 1.4 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 0.4 on average. Ponte Preta averages 1.6 goals per game, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have seen the over 2.5 goals line hit in 1 out of 5 matches, with 4 out of 5 going under. The odds for over 1.5 goals are at 1.45, while under 2.5 goals is at 1.50. In the first half, the over 1.5 goals line was hit 1 out of 5 times for both teams. The same pattern is seen in the second halves: only 1 out of 5 went over 1.5. Avai most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), while Ponte Preta spreads its goals across five different intervals, each at 20%. Avai concedes most often between the 76th and 90th minutes (67%), while Ponte Preta concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%). All statistics point to low scoring, especially for Ponte Preta, which averages only 0.4 goals per five matches. Both teams rarely see the over 2.5 line, and their average goal totals are far from high-scoring profiles. In such conditions, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems most logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

In terms of average corners over 5 matches, Avai averages 6.8, while Ponte Preta averages 5.2. The over 9.5 corners line has been hit 4 out of 5 times for both teams. The odds for corners are set at over 9.5 - 1.80, under 9.5 - 1.90. These figures suggest high activity from corner kicks, which is supported by the frequent occurrence of over 9.5 corners. Based on this, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, as both teams regularly deliver a high number of corners. Considering the averages, at least 10 corners can be expected in this match.