Prediction for match Avispa Fukuoka — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League is scheduled for April 29, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima is priced at 1.77, a draw at 3.54, and a victory for Avispa Fukuoka at 4.56. In terms of probabilities, there is a 52.96% chance for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, a 26.48% chance for a draw, and a 20.56% chance for an Avispa Fukuoka win. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is clearly favored by bookmakers and probabilities, making them the favorites in this matchup.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Avispa Fukuoka played as follows: April 25, 2026 - Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka, April 22, 2026 - Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka, April 19, 2026 - Nagoya Grampus 7-6 Avispa Fukuoka. Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last three results were: April 25, 2026 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Cerezo Osaka, April 18, 2026 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki, April 11, 2026 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6-5 Shimizu S-Pulse. In their last head-to-head, on April 5, 2026, Sanfrecce Hiroshima lost to Avispa Fukuoka 0-1. Over a five-match span, Avispa Fukuoka's average ball possession is 39.6%, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima's is 59%. Yellow cards: Avispa Fukuoka 2.6, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0.6. Fouls: 14.2 against 8.8, offsides: 1.8 for Avispa Fukuoka and 2.8 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Match Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

In their last five matches, both teams have shown identical average scoring: 2.2 goals per game, with 1.2 scored and 1 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches go over and 3 under. In the first half, Avispa Fukuoka had 2 out of 5 games go over 1.5, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima had none. In the second half, Avispa Fukuoka had only 1 out of 5 games go over 1.5, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 3 out of 5. Goal distribution: Avispa Fukuoka most frequently scores in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores most in the 76-90 minute interval (57%). Conceded goals: Avispa Fukuoka concedes most often in the 31-45 minute interval (60%), Sanfrecce Hiroshima evenly across four different intervals (25% each). These stats suggest that both teams are capable of scoring, but there is no clear over-profile. However, the over 2.0 total is priced at 1.56, which seems an optimal choice considering the average scoring and frequency of over 2.5 occurrences.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Average corners per match: Avispa Fukuoka - 5.4, Sanfrecce Hiroshima - 5.8. In a five-match series, Avispa Fukuoka had 3 out of 5 games go over 9.5 corners, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 1 out of 5. The line closest to the average sum (11.2) is 11.5: over 11.5 is priced at 3.58, under 11.5 at 1.21. There's also a 9.5 line: over 9.5 at 2.01, under 9.5 at 1.70. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the favorite for corner outcome with odds of 1.60. Given the average values and frequency of over 9.5 occurrences, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.