Prediction for match Kyoto Sanga — Shimizu S-pulse

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the J1 League on May 2, 2026, Kyoto Sanga will face Shimizu S-Pulse. The 1X2 odds are as follows: a win for Kyoto Sanga is at 2.09, a draw is at 3.40, and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse is also at 3.40. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Kyoto Sanga - 44.85%, draw - 27.57%, Shimizu S-Pulse - 27.57%. These numbers suggest that Kyoto Sanga is seen as the more likely winner, but the gap is not overwhelming. Meanwhile, the odds for total goals over 2.5 are 1.99, and under 2.5 is 1.79, reflecting an expectation of moderate scoring in the match. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.77, no is at 1.94, further indicating a balance in the attacking potential of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Kyoto Sanga averaged 50.6% possession, committed 15 fouls, received 2.6 yellow cards, and recorded 1.6 offsides per game. Shimizu S-Pulse, in the same period, showed 47% possession, 9.6 fouls, 0.2 yellow cards, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Kyoto Sanga played as follows: 29.04.2026 - Kyoto Sanga vs Gamba Osaka 6-5, 18.04.2026 - Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga 3-0, 11.04.2026 - Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama 5-1. Shimizu S-Pulse's last three encounters were: 29.04.2026 - Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2, 25.04.2026 - Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus 0-2, 11.04.2026 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse 6-5. In their head-to-head on 14.02.2026, Shimizu S-Pulse and Kyoto Sanga drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Kyoto Sanga has an average total of 3 goals per match, while Shimizu S-Pulse has 2.4. For goals scored: Kyoto Sanga averages 1.4, Shimizu S-Pulse 1. They concede 1.6 and 1.4 respectively. For over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches end with three or more goals, while 3 out of 5 were under. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for each team, in the second half, Kyoto Sanga had 3 times, Shimizu S-Pulse only 1. Regarding scoring intervals, Kyoto Sanga most often scored in the 76-90 minute segment (31%), Shimizu S-Pulse in the 16-30 and 61-75 intervals (50% each). For goals conceded, Kyoto Sanga allowed opponents to score most often in three different segments: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 (33% each), Shimizu S-Pulse in the 31-45 interval (38%). Overall, this data suggests the match leans towards moderate scoring but with the potential for three goals, especially considering Kyoto Sanga's regular second-half goals and average total figures. A bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.99 seems justified given the current team dynamics.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Kyoto Sanga averages 5.8 corners over 5 matches, Shimizu S-Pulse 3. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Kyoto Sanga is 3 out of 5, for Shimizu S-Pulse 0 out of 5. Looking at the odds for corner totals, over 9.5 is at 1.79, under 9.5 is at 1.95. For the outcome on corners, Kyoto Sanga is favored with odds of 1.65. Considering the difference in average corners and the frequency of higher totals for Kyoto Sanga, it makes sense to consider a bet on Kyoto Sanga's individual corner total over 5.5, as well as an overall total over 9.5 as a viable option for this match.