Prediction for match Fagiano Okayama — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the J1 League of Japan, Fagiano Okayama will face Sanfrecce Hiroshima on May 2nd. The odds for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win are 1.79, a draw is priced at 3.52, and a Fagiano Okayama victory is at 4.46. In terms of probabilities: there's a 52.36% chance of a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, 26.63% for a draw, and 21.01% for a Fagiano Okayama win. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but the margin is not so wide as to rule out other outcomes entirely.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Fagiano Okayama played as follows: 29.04.2026 - Nagoya Grampus vs. Fagiano Okayama - 5-6, 25.04.2026 - Fagiano Okayama vs. Avispa Fukuoka - 2-0, 19.04.2026 - Gamba Osaka vs. Fagiano Okayama - 7-5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last three results are: 29.04.2026 - Avispa Fukuoka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima - 6-5, 25.04.2026 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Osaka - 2-1, 18.04.2026 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. V-Varen Nagasaki - 2-0. Over a five-match span, Fagiano Okayama averages 38% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Sanfrecce Hiroshima averages 62% possession, 1 yellow card, 9 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 14.02.2026, Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Fagiano Okayama drew 1-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Over the last 5 games, Fagiano Okayama saw over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Sanfrecce Hiroshima had over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Fagiano Okayama averages 3.8 goals per match, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima averages 2.4. Both teams score an average of 1.4 goals per game, but Fagiano Okayama concedes 2.4, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima concedes 1. In the first half, Fagiano Okayama had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, and in the second half, 4 out of 5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima had over 1.5 goals in only 1 out of 5 first halves, and 2 out of 5 second halves. Fagiano Okayama most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (36%), and concedes evenly at 25% across four different intervals. Sanfrecce Hiroshima most frequently scores between the 61st and 90th minute (29% in two intervals), and mainly concedes in the first 15 minutes (60%). Considering the average scoring of both teams, the over 2.5 goals bet at 2.13 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On corners, Fagiano Okayama averages 4.8 per match, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5.4. Over a five-match span, Fagiano Okayama had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 games, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima had it in 1 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.77, under 9.5 is 1.98. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.70. Together, both teams average 10.2 corners per game, supporting the logic for a bet on over 9.5 corners. Individual corner totals for both teams can also be considered given their average figures.