Prediction for match AZ Alkmaar — Volendam

Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Volendam

On January 10th, the Dutch Eredivisie will feature a match between AZ Alkmaar and Volendam. According to the 1X2 odds, AZ Alkmaar is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.21, a draw at 7.21, and Volendam's win at 12.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 79.12% for an AZ Alkmaar win, 13.28% for a draw, and 7.60% for a Volendam win. The odds for over 3.25 goals are 1.59, highlighting expectations for a high-scoring encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, AZ Alkmaar has averaged 60.8% ball possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Volendam shows 41% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per match. In their last three games, AZ Alkmaar played as follows: 21.12.2025 - Fortuna Sittard 4-3 AZ Alkmaar, 18.12.2025 - AZ Alkmaar 0-0 Jagiellonia, 11.12.2025 - FC Drita 0-3 AZ Alkmaar. Volendam's last three matches: 21.12.2025 - Volendam 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam, 13.12.2025 - Groningen 3-0 Volendam, 07.12.2025 - Volendam 2-3 NEC Nijmegen. In their last head-to-head on 17.08.2025, Volendam and AZ Alkmaar drew 2-2.

Goals Statistics

AZ Alkmaar's five-match average total goals is 3.6, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4 per game. Volendam's matches average 2.8 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.2. For over 2.5 goals, AZ Alkmaar has 4 out of 5, and Volendam 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 out of 5 times for AZ Alkmaar and 1 out of 5 for Volendam. In the second half, over 1.5 goals happened 3 out of 5 times for both teams. AZ Alkmaar most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (57%), while Volendam scores between the 76th and 90th minute (33%). Conceding-wise, AZ Alkmaar's most common interval is 76-90 (33%), and for Volendam, it's 46-60 and 76-90 (40% each). Considering the high average scoring, frequent over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, a bet on over 3.25 goals at 1.59 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

AZ Alkmaar averages 7.6 corners over their last five games, and Volendam 3.4. For over 9.5 corners, AZ Alkmaar has 4 out of 5, and Volendam 3 out of 5. The closest line to the average total (11) is 11.25: over 11.25 is at 2.31, under at 1.50. There's also a line for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.53, under at 2.24. Given both teams' average activity, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. AZ Alkmaar consistently delivers many corners, as evidenced by frequent high totals in recent matches. Volendam can also contribute to the total, especially if trailing. Overall, expect at least 10-11 corners in this matchup.