Prediction for match AZ Alkmaar — Sparta Rotterdam

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

On February 22, in the Dutch Eredivisie, AZ Alkmaar will face Sparta Rotterdam. Bookmakers give AZ Alkmaar a 2.01 odds to win, while Sparta Rotterdam has 3.62, and a draw is at 3.74. According to probability percentages, AZ Alkmaar has a 47.79% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.68%, and Sparta Rotterdam has 26.53%. This indicates a slight advantage for AZ Alkmaar, but Sparta Rotterdam is not a clear underdog. The option for both teams to score is at 1.51, making it an attractive bet for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

AZ Alkmaar has been alternating wins and losses in their last five matches, reflecting their inconsistency: they lost 0-1 to Noa in their last game, previously won 2-1 against Excelsior, and drew 1-1 with Ajax. Their five-match series also includes a 2-1 win over Twente and a 1-3 loss to NEC Nijmegen. Sparta Rotterdam has shown a productive game in their last five encounters: a 1-1 draw with NEC Nijmegen, a 2-2 draw with Fortuna Sittard, a 2-0 victory over Groningen, a narrow 1-0 win against Utrecht, and an impressive 4-3 victory over Feyenoord. In their last head-to-head on November 2, 2025, Sparta Rotterdam lost 0-1 to AZ Alkmaar. Additional stats show that AZ Alkmaar has an average possession of 50.4% over 5 matches, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Sparta Rotterdam has 47.6% possession, also 2.2 yellows, 12.2 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

In terms of match productivity over the last five games, AZ Alkmaar has an average total of 2.6, while Sparta Rotterdam's is 3.2. AZ Alkmaar scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 1.4, whereas Sparta Rotterdam has better stats: 2 scored and 1.2 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, AZ Alkmaar has 3 out of 5, Sparta Rotterdam 2 out of 5. In the first half, AZ Alkmaar only had 1 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, Sparta Rotterdam had none. However, in the second half, Sparta Rotterdam had 4 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, AZ Alkmaar had 2 out of 5. Scoring intervals: AZ Alkmaar most often scores between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (40% each), while Sparta Rotterdam scores mostly in the final 15 minutes (50%). Conceding: AZ Alkmaar is most vulnerable in the last 15 minutes (43%), and Sparta Rotterdam from 61-75 minutes (38%). Given the high average scoring rate, regular goals from both teams, and frequent over totals, the bet on both teams to score at 1.51 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

AZ Alkmaar averages 4.6 corners per game, Sparta Rotterdam 4.8, totaling 9.4. In the last five matches, AZ Alkmaar had 2 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, Sparta Rotterdam had 3 out of 5. For a total corners of 9.5, the outcomes are: over 9.5 at 1.70, under 9.5 at 2.03. AZ Alkmaar is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.50. Considering both teams' average corner activity, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Also, consider betting on AZ Alkmaar to win on corners, given their stability in this aspect.