Prediction for match Bari — Carrarese

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie B on March 22, Bari will face Carrarese. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.47 for a Carrarese win, 2.76 for a Bari victory, and 3.28 for a draw. In terms of probabilities, Carrarese is slightly favored at 37.76%, Bari at 33.80%, and a draw at 28.44%. There isn't a clear favorite, but Carrarese has a slight edge in both percentages and odds.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at additional metrics, Bari has averaged 42.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides over the last five matches. Carrarese, over the same period, shows 51% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. In their last three matches, Bari lost 1-2 to Frosinone, thrashed Reggiana 4-1, and were defeated 0-4 by Pescara. Carrarese, in their last three games, beat Sampdoria 2-0, drew 1-1 with Juve Stabia, and lost 0-1 to Palermo. The last encounter between these teams was on January 10, 2026, where Carrarese won 1-0 against Bari.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Bari has an average total goals of 3.4, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 per game. Carrarese has an average total of 2.6, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Bari's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Carrarese only once in 5. In the first half, Bari has seen over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, Carrarese only 1 out of 5. In the second half, Bari has over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Carrarese in 3 out of 5. Goal intervals show Bari most often scores between 46-60 minutes (42%), while Carrarese scores late, between 76-90 minutes (38%). Bari also concedes most often late in the game (76-90, 40%), as does Carrarese (76-90, 50%). Considering Bari's high scoring and Carrarese's moderate stats, along with Bari's tendency to go over 2.5 total goals, betting on over 2.0 total goals at 1.53 seems logical.

Analysis of Total Corners

Bari averages 2.8 corners over five matches, while Carrarese averages 6.6. For over 9.5 corners, Bari has 4 out of 5 matches, Carrarese 3 out of 5. The total closest to the sum of averages (9.4) is the 9.5 line, with odds available for both outcomes: over 9.5 corners at 1.79, under 9.5 at 1.89. Carrarese is favored in corner bets with odds of 1.86. Given Carrarese's high activity in corner kicks, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that Bari rarely takes many corners, while Carrarese consistently maintains a high level in this aspect.