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Prediction for match Monza — Venezia

Match prediction Monza — Venezia, Serie B, 21.03.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie B on March 21, Monza will face Venezia, and the bookmakers see no clear favorite. The odds for a Monza win are 2.58, for a Venezia win - 2.61, and a draw is at 3.32. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 36.16% for a Monza win, 28.10% for a draw, and 35.74% for Venezia. These figures indicate nearly equal chances for both teams, making this match particularly intriguing for betting on main outcomes and totals.

Team Results and Statistics

Monza has shown solid form in their last five matches: a draw with Reggiana (0-0), a win over Palermo (3-0), a loss to Spezia (2-4), a victory against Cesena (3-1), and a win over Virtus Entella (2-0). In the same period, Venezia defeated Padova (3-1), drew with Sampdoria (0-0), beat Reggiana (2-0), thrashed Avellino (4-0), and drew with Südtirol (1-1). In their last head-to-head encounter on December 13, 2025, Venezia came out on top, winning 2-0 against Monza. According to secondary statistics, Monza averages 2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, 2 offsides, and 53.6% ball possession per game. Venezia is known for their high ball control at 67.8%, committing 14.6 fouls, receiving 1 yellow card, and recording 1.2 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Monza's scoring average over the last five matches is 3 goals per game, with the team scoring 2 and conceding 1 on average. Venezia's figures are 2.4 goals per match, also scoring 2 while conceding just 0.4. Monza has surpassed the 2.5 goals total in 3 out of 5 matches, while Venezia has done so in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Monza exceeded the 1.5 goal total twice, Venezia once, but in the second half, Monza exceeded it 4 times out of 5, Venezia twice. Regarding frequent goal intervals: Monza most often scores late (76-90 minutes, 40%), while Venezia scores at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 40%). Monza most often concedes between the 16th and 30th minute (40%), Venezia in two intervals: 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). Overall, both teams show decent attacking potential, especially Monza in the second half, while Venezia boasts a solid defense. Given the average goal figures and frequency of surpassing the 2.5 goal total, betting on over 2.25 goals at 1.68 seems like an optimal choice for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Monza averages 2.4 corners per match, while Venezia averages 5.6, totaling 8. Monza has surpassed the 9.5 corners total once in 5 matches, while Venezia has done so 3 times. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 8.5, with odds of 1.55 for over and 2.29 for under. Monza is the favorite for total corners with odds of 1.72. Considering Venezia consistently delivers over 5 corners per match, while Monza rarely exceeds 3, it is logical to consider a bet on Venezia's individual total corners over 4.5. Additionally, the overall total corners over 8.5 looks like a feasible option for this match.

Sportwars.net Prediction for Monza vs. Venezia, 21.03.2026 - Over 2.25 goals, odds 1.68. Exact score: 1:1, odds 6.50.
21.03.26
FT
Monza
Monza
1
Venezia
Venezia
1
Tip:
Over 2.25 goals
Odds:
1.68
Author: Sportwars AI Model
The prediction is based on recent match statistics, head-to-head results, and the current form of the teams. The text and data have been verified by the website team.
19.03.26, 21:19
* statistical data are taken from the match page section Teams comparison

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Sampdoria
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Monza
Monza
-
Tip:
Over 2.0
Odds:
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Spezia
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Sudtirol
Sudtirol
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Tip:
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Odds:
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In the Serie B match between Spezia and Sudtirol, bookmakers price Spezia's win at 2.40, a draw at 3.14, and Sudtirol's win at 3.01. Probabilities are 39.04% for Spezia's win, 29.84% for a draw, and 31.13% for Sudtirol's win. Based on odds and stats, the hosts are considered favorites, but the advantage is minimal.
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Bari
Bari
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Venezia
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Tip:
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Odds:
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In the Serie B match between Bari and Venezia on April 18, bookmakers favor Venezia: a win for them is at 1.45, a draw at 4.55, and a Bari win at 6.35. Outcome probabilities: Bari win 14.76%, draw 20.60%, Venezia win 64.64%. Venezia looks like the favorite based on odds and percentages.
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