Prediction for match Sampdoria — Monza

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Serie B on April 17, Sampdoria will face Monza. The odds for Monza's victory are 2.16, a draw is priced at 3.18, and Sampdoria's win is at 3.44. In terms of probabilities: Sampdoria - 27.22%, draw - 29.44%, Monza - 43.34%. Monza stands out as the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but the gap isn't significant, adding extra intrigue to the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sampdoria has averaged 45.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Monza boasts higher ball control at 53.4%, with an average of 1.4 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. In their last three matches, Sampdoria defeated Pescara 2-1 (11.04.2026), won against Empoli 1-0 (06.04.2026), and beat Avellino 2-1 (22.03.2026). Monza, in their last three games, won against Bari 2-0 (11.04.2026), drew 1-1 with Catanzaro (06.04.2026), and drew 1-1 with Venezia (21.03.2026). In their head-to-head on 20.09.2025, Monza defeated Sampdoria 1-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Sampdoria - Monza Match

In their last five matches, both teams have an average total of 1.8 goals per game. Sampdoria scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 0.8, while Monza scores 1.4 and concedes 0.4. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Sampdoria has 2 out of 5 matches over, and Monza has 1 out of 5 over. Neither team has exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half in the last five matches, but in the second half, Sampdoria has gone over 1.5 in 3 out of 5, and Monza in 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: Sampdoria most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (33%) and from the 76th to 90th (33%), while Monza scores between the 46th and 60th (29%) and from the 76th to 90th (29%). Sampdoria concedes exclusively in the final minutes (76-90, 100%), while Monza concedes in two intervals: 16-30 (50%) and 76-90 (50%). Overall, both teams are not inclined towards high-scoring matches, but Monza shows a slightly more stable attack. The over 2.0 goals option is priced at 1.59, which seems logical given the average scoring and goal distribution by halves. The over 2.0 is also supported by the fact that both sides tend to score in the second half.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over the last five matches, Sampdoria averages 5.6 corners, and Monza 5.8. Regarding over 9.5 corners: Sampdoria has 3 out of 5 over, Monza has 2 out of 5. The closest average total is 11.5, but there are no Over/Under odds for it. For the total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is at 2.08, under 9.5 is also at 2.08. Based on the averages, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering both teams regularly win 5 or more corners per match. In terms of corner outcomes, Monza is favored with odds of 1.89. Overall, expect active play on the wings and a decent number of set-pieces.