Prediction for match Spezia — Sudtirol

Match Analysis: Spezia vs. Sudtirol

In Serie B on April 18, Spezia will face Sudtirol. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Spezia's victory is priced at 2.40, a draw is at 3.14, and a win for Sudtirol is offered at 3.01. In terms of probability percentages, Spezia has a 39.04% chance of winning, a draw is at 29.84%, and Sudtirol's victory is at 31.13%. These figures suggest a slight advantage for Spezia, but the gap between the teams is not very large, as reflected in the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Spezia had an average possession of 50.2%, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 17.6 fouls, and had 1 offside per game. Sudtirol's possession was 43.4%, with 3 yellow cards, 16.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three encounters, Spezia lost to Mantova 0-2 (12.04.2026), Carrara 1-3 (06.04.2026), and Juve Stabia 1-3 (21.03.2026). Sudtirol drew 1-1 with Modena (11.04.2026), also drew 1-1 with Cesena (06.04.2026), and lost to Frosinone 1-3 (22.03.2026). The last head-to-head meeting on January 10, 2026, ended with a 2-1 victory for Sudtirol.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Spezia has an average total of 3 goals per match, while Sudtirol has 2.6. Spezia scores an average of 0.6 goals, and Sudtirol scores 1. Spezia concedes 2.4 goals per game, while Sudtirol concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Spezia had 3 out of 5 matches, and Sudtirol had 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for both teams, while in the second half, Spezia had it 4 times, and Sudtirol twice. Spezia most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (36%), while Sudtirol scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). Spezia concedes most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%), and Sudtirol in two intervals: 0-15 and 61-75 (29% each). Given Spezia's low scoring and Sudtirol's moderate performance, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.72 seems the most reasonable. Neither team has a strong attacking profile, with average goals scored not exceeding 1 per game.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On corners, Spezia averages 4.6 per match, while Sudtirol averages 4.2. In the last five matches, Spezia never exceeded a total of 9.5, and Sudtirol only did so once in 5 matches. The odds for over 9.5 corners are at 2.06, while under 9.5 is at 1.63. Based on average values and frequencies, it makes more sense to consider betting on under 9.5 corners. Spezia is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.90. Overall, neither team is particularly active in taking corners, as confirmed by the statistics from recent games.