Prediction for match Modena — Frosinone

Match Analysis: Modena vs Frosinone

On April 18th, Modena will face Frosinone in Serie B. According to the 1X2 odds, Modena's win is priced at 2.41, a draw at 3.36, and Frosinone's win at 2.78. The implied probabilities are as follows: Modena - 38.70%, Draw - 27.76%, Frosinone - 33.55%. Among the main markets, the over 2.5 goals market is particularly interesting with odds of 1.68, and both teams to score: yes is at 1.53. There are options for individual team totals, but the focus shifts towards the overall total based on statistics and odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Modena played as follows: April 14, 2026, Catanzaro - Modena 2-2, April 11, 2026, Südtirol - Modena 1-1, April 6, 2026, Bari - Modena 3-1. Frosinone's last three results were: April 10, 2026, Frosinone - Palermo 1-1, April 5, 2026, Frosinone - Padova 2-0, March 22, 2026, Südtirol - Frosinone 1-3. On average over five matches, Modena has 46.6% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Frosinone averages 53.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Their last head-to-head was on November 8, 2025, ending Frosinone - Modena 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Modena's average total goals per match is 3.2, while Frosinone's is 3. Modena scores an average of 1.8 goals and concedes 1.4, while Frosinone scores 2 and concedes 1. In 5 games, the over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times for Modena and 3 times for Frosinone. In the first half, the over 1.5 goals happened 3 times for both teams, and similarly in the second half, 3 out of 5. Modena most frequently scores between the 46th-60th minute (33%), and Frosinone in the same interval (40%). Modena concedes most often in the final minutes (76th-90th, 60%), while Frosinone has three equal intervals for conceding: 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Overall, both teams show a strong over-profile, supported by frequent over 2.5 goals and consistent scoring across halves. The most logical bet appears to be on over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.68.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average over 5 matches, Modena takes 4.6 corners, and Frosinone 6.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners occurred 3 out of 5 times for both teams. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the sum of the averages (10.8) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.92, under 10.5 at 1.31. Modena is favored in the corner outcome at 1.88. Based on recent matches, both teams tend to play actively on the wings, which is confirmed by the frequent high corner totals. A bet on over 10.5 corners seems justified by the statistics, although the odds for under 10.5 are significantly lower, indicating frequent occurrences of the lower boundary.