Prediction for match Bastia — Amiens

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the French Ligue 2 on April 3, Bastia will face Amiens. The odds are set as follows: a win for Bastia is priced at 1.91, a draw at 3.68, and a win for Amiens at 3.67. In terms of probability percentages, Bastia is at 49.03%, a draw at 25.45%, and Amiens at 25.52%. These numbers suggest Bastia is slightly favored, but the close probabilities indicate a potentially competitive match. The market also offers odds on totals and both teams to score, with high expectations for goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bastia recorded 2 draws, 2 losses, and 1 draw: March 20 Rodez - Bastia 1-1, March 13 Bastia - Boulogne 0-1, March 6 Pau - Bastia 2-2. Meanwhile, Amiens' last three games were: March 20 Amiens - Le Mans 3-4, March 13 Guingamp - Amiens 1-0, March 6 Boulogne - Amiens 4-2. In the previous head-to-head on September 12, 2025, Amiens and Bastia ended 0-0. Over the last five matches, Bastia averaged 53.4% possession, committed 14.8 fouls, received 2 yellow cards, and registered 1.4 offsides per game. Amiens had less possession (41.2%), committed more fouls (12), received 2.8 yellow cards, and was caught offside once per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Bastia showed an average total of 2.2 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4. Amiens had a higher average total of 3.2, scoring 1 and conceding 2.2. For totals over 2.5, Bastia had 1 out of 5, while Amiens had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Bastia recorded over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Amiens had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Bastia had no games over 1.5 goals, while Amiens had 3 out of 5. Bastia often scores between the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (33% each), while Amiens scores evenly at 25% in four intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90. Bastia concedes most in the first 45 minutes (29% in each of the three intervals), while Amiens concedes 38% in the first 15 minutes. Considering Bastia's low scoring and not very high frequency of totals over 2.5, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems reasonable. Odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.77.

Corner Totals Analysis

Bastia averages 4.6 corners per match, Amiens 4.2. In their last five matches, Bastia had 2 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, while Amiens had 4 out of 5. The closest line to the average sum is 9.5. Odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.31, and for under 1.56. Based on this data, 8-10 corners can be expected, and a bet on under 9.5 corners appears slightly more reliable, considering Bastia's figures. Both teams show stable individual corner statistics, which may lead to an even distribution of corners in the match.