Prediction for match Bastia — Grenoble, 03.01.2026

Match Analysis: Bastia vs Grenoble

On Friday, January 3, 2026, Bastia will face Grenoble in a Ligue 2 clash in France. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Bastia win at 2.15, a draw at 3.14, and a Grenoble victory at 3.52. In terms of probability, Bastia has a 43.56% chance of winning, a draw stands at 29.83%, and Grenoble has a 26.61% chance. These numbers indicate a moderate advantage for Bastia, but a draw is also a viable outcome. The betting line also offers options for totals and both teams to score, allowing for different betting approaches for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bastia defeated Pontivy GSI (1-0), drew with Saint-Étienne (2-2), and lost to Laval (0-2). During the same period, Grenoble played against Nancy (4-6), Montpellier (1-1), and Nancy again (1-0). Over their last five games, Bastia averaged 48.2% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match. Grenoble averaged 49.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their head-to-head match on September 26, 2025, the teams played to a 0-0 draw, indicating a tight contest and cautious defense. These stats highlight that both teams can control the ball and match each other in intensity.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Bastia vs Grenoble

In their last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Their average goals per match stand at 2.4, with Bastia scoring 0.8 and Grenoble 1.2. Bastia concedes 1.6, while Grenoble concedes 1.2. In the first half, Bastia had over 1.5 goals twice, Grenoble once, and in the second half, Bastia once, Grenoble three times. Bastia most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each), while Grenoble often scores late (76th-90th minute, 38%). Bastia concedes most frequently between the 16th-30th minutes (38%), and Grenoble from the 61st to 75th minute (50%). These data suggest moderate scoring but with a tendency for second-half goals, especially for Grenoble. Considering the average totals, the frequency of over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.69 seems justified: two goals would result in a push, while three or more would win.

Corner Totals Analysis

Bastia averages 3.8 corners per match, while Grenoble averages 6. In their last five games, Bastia recorded over 9.5 corners twice, and Grenoble four times. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.94, while under 9.5 is 1.75. In the corner outcome line, Bastia is favored with odds of 1.62. Together, the teams average 9.8 corners per game, close to the set total. Considering Grenoble's activity in delivering corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially if the game is played at a high pace. It's also worth noting individual stats: Bastia delivers fewer, but Grenoble compensates with a high frequency of over totals in their matches.