Prediction for match Bastia — Montpellier, 23.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages

In Ligue 2, Bastia will face Montpellier on January 23, 2026. The odds for Bastia to win are 2.92, for a draw 3.06, and for Montpellier to succeed 2.51. According to probability percentages, Montpellier is rated the highest at 37.32%, Bastia at 32.08%, and a draw at 30.61%. The odds for total goals are also highlighted: over 2.5 goals is at 2.27, under 2.5 at 1.61. Both teams to score: yes - 1.88, no - 1.82. Among the double chance bets, 1X is rated the highest at 1.50, which could be an interesting option for those considering a defensive strategy. The options for totals and outcomes offer a wide range for betting, but there's no clear favorite in the odds - Montpellier slightly edges out Bastia in probability and odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bastia has gained momentum: their last three results were - January 16, Laval vs Bastia 0-2, January 10, Bastia vs Troyes 0-2, January 3, Bastia vs Grenoble 1-0. During the same period, Montpellier played as follows: January 16, Boulogne vs Montpellier 1-0, January 11, Metz vs Montpellier 0-4, January 5, Montpellier vs Dunkerque 1-3. In their head-to-head encounter, the last match was on September 20, 2025: Montpellier vs Bastia 2-0. Additional statistics show Bastia with an average ball possession of 47.6%, 4 yellow cards, 17.6 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. Montpellier's possession is 50.8%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 3.6 offsides. These numbers indicate that Montpellier plays slightly more carefully and often gets caught offside, while Bastia plays more aggressively and commits more fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show similar scoring figures: Bastia averages 1.2 goals per match and concedes 0.8, while Montpellier also scores 1.2 but concedes 1.2. Bastia's average total goals over five matches is 2, while Montpellier's is 2.4. Over the last 5 matches, Bastia hit over 2.5 goals once, under 4 times, while Montpellier had over 2.5 goals twice, under 3 times. By halves, Bastia had over 1.5 goals in the first half once, and twice in the second half. Montpellier had over 1.5 goals in the first half once, and three times in the second half. This indicates that goals are often scored after the break, as confirmed by the interval distribution: Bastia scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Montpellier in the same interval (67%). Bastia concedes more often in the closing stages (76-90 minutes - 43%), Montpellier in the 61-75 minute interval (33%). Considering this data, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.61 seems logical: both teams are not prone to high-scoring games, with under 2.5 goals occurring 4 out of 5 times for Bastia and 3 out of 5 for Montpellier.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Montpellier significantly surpasses Bastia in average corners: 5.8 versus 2.6 per game over a five-match series. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Bastia and twice for Montpellier. Combining both teams' average figures results in 8.4 corners per match. The closest total with odds is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 is at 1.84, under 9.5 is also 1.84. Montpellier is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.94. Considering Bastia delivers few corners and Montpellier consistently reaches 5-6 per game, a bet on Montpellier's individual total corners over 4.5 or the overall total over 8.5 seems justified. You can also consider a bet on Montpellier to win the corners, given their advantage in this component.