Prediction for match Bastia — Red Star, 05.12.2025

Match Preview

On December 5th, in France's Ligue 2, Bastia will face Red Star. The odds for Red Star's victory are 2.62, Bastia's win is at 2.80, and a draw is at 3.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Bastia - 33.31%, draw - 31.09%, Red Star - 35.60%. These figures suggest Red Star is slightly favored, but the difference is minimal, reflecting a balanced match-up.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bastia lost to Laval 0-2, Annecy 0-1, and Reims 1-3. Previously, they won against Clermont Foot 1-0 and lost to Nancy 0-2. Red Star drew with Clermont Foot 2-2, had a goalless draw with Le Mans 0-0, beat Saint-Étienne 2-1, lost to Dunkerque 0-3, and won against Grenoble 1-0. In their head-to-head on February 21, 2025, Bastia defeated Red Star 1-0. Bastia has an average possession of 54% in the last five matches, while Red Star has 52%. Bastia averages 3 yellow cards and 15.8 fouls per game, Red Star - 1.6 cards and 11.6 fouls. Both teams average 2 offsides per match.

Goals Statistics

In a five-match series, Bastia's average goals per match are 2, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 1.6. Red Star's average is slightly higher at 2.2, scoring 1 and conceding 1.2. Bastia has exceeded the 2.5 total goals in only 1 of 5 matches, while Red Star has done so in 3 of 5. In the first half, Bastia exceeded 1.5 total goals 1 out of 5 times, Red Star 2 out of 5. In the second half, Bastia never exceeded 1.5 total goals in five games, Red Star did once. Bastia most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (40%), while Red Star scores in the first 15 minutes and between the 61st-75th (33%). Bastia is vulnerable to conceding between the 16th-30th minutes (40%), Red Star in three intervals (0-15, 16-30, 61-75 - 33% each). Given Bastia's low scoring and Red Star's moderate stats, along with frequent under 2.5 total goals for Bastia, a bet on under 2.5 total goals at 1.54 is logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Bastia averages 3.2 corners, while Red Star averages 4 per game. In the last five matches, Bastia exceeded 9.5 total corners once, Red Star twice. The available odds for corner totals are absent for over 9.5, with the closest comparable total being 1.46 for under 1.5 in the second half, which does not pertain to corners. No team stands out as a winner on corners, as averages are close. Statistics suggest neither team tends to high corner counts, as evidenced by the rare over 9.5 totals. In this match-up, cautious bets on low corner totals are sensible.