Prediction for match Bayern — RB Leipzig

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the DFB Pokal on February 11, 2026, Bayern will face RB Leipzig. According to the main 1X2 odds, Bayern is a clear favorite: their victory is offered at 1.35, a draw at 6.14, and RB Leipzig's success at 8.90. In terms of probabilities, the distribution is as follows: Bayern - 72.91%, draw - 16.03%, RB Leipzig - 11.06%. This reflects confidence in Bayern's strength, but one should not underestimate RB Leipzig's attacking potential, considering their recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bayern achieved the following results: on February 8, they defeated Hoffenheim 5-1, drew 2-2 with Hamburg on January 31, and won against PSV 2-1 on January 28. In their last three matches, RB Leipzig played as follows: they beat Cologne 2-1 on February 8, lost to Mainz 1-2 on January 31, and drew 1-1 with St. Pauli on January 27. Bayern averages 65.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game over five matches. RB Leipzig holds 59% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 8.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on January 17, Bayern thrashed RB Leipzig 5-1 away.

Goals Statistics

Both teams show high scoring ability: Bayern averages 3.6 total goals per match, and RB Leipzig 3.4. Over a five-match span, Bayern scores an average of 2.4 goals, conceding 1.2, while RB Leipzig scores 1.6 and concedes 1.8. Both teams have gone over 2.5 total goals in 4 out of 5 matches. Bayern surpassed 1.5 first-half goals twice in five, while RB Leipzig did so once. In the second half, Bayern always played over 1.5 goals (5 out of 5), and RB Leipzig 4 out of 5. Bayern most frequently scores in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each), while RB Leipzig scores in the 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each). Bayern most frequently concedes in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), while RB Leipzig concedes in the 61-75 minute interval (38%). Given the high scoring ability of both teams, consistent over 2.5 goal results, and active second halves, a bet on over 3.5 goals at 1.73 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Bayern averages 7 corners per match, RB Leipzig 3.2. In the last five games, Bayern's total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times, while RB Leipzig's only once. The corners market offers a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.78, under 9.5 at 1.93. Bayern is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.23. Considering Bayern's average activity in corner kicks and regular over 9.5 results, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified. It's also notable that Bayern consistently outperforms their opponent in this aspect, as confirmed by the corner odds.