Prediction for match Benfica — Sporting CP

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting CP, scheduled for December 5, 2025, bookmakers see no clear favorite. The odds for a Sporting CP victory stand at 2.64, while a win for Benfica is at 2.77, and a draw is priced at 3.42. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 36.70% for a Sporting CP win, 34.98% for Benfica, and 28.33% for a draw. This balance reflects the high competition between the teams and suggests a potentially high-scoring game, given the attacking capabilities of both sides. Among additional markets, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.05, making this an interesting option for betting considering the current form of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Benfica has claimed three victories, drawn once, and suffered one defeat in their last five matches: November 29 - Nacional 1-2 Benfica, November 25 - Ajax 0-2 Benfica, November 9 - Benfica 2-2 Casa Pia. Sporting CP, in a similar stretch, won four times and drew once: November 30 - Sporting CP 4-0 Estrela, November 26 - Sporting CP 3-0 Club Brugge, November 8 - Santa Clara 1-2 Sporting CP. In their last head-to-head encounter on July 31, 2025, Sporting CP lost to Benfica 0-1. It is also worth noting that Benfica shows a high ball possession rate of 58.6% over five matches, while Sporting CP is even higher at 59.8%. The average yellow card count is 2.4 for Benfica and 2 for Sporting CP. Sporting CP commits more fouls, averaging 11 per match compared to Benfica's 8.4. The offside averages are 1.2 for Benfica and 0.8 for Sporting CP.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The scoring performance of both teams in their last five matches is impressive: Benfica scores an average of 1.8 goals per game, while Sporting CP averages 2.4. The average total goals in Benfica's matches is 2.6, and for Sporting CP, it is 2.8. In the series of five games, the total over 2.5 was achieved three times by both teams. In the first half, Benfica did not exceed 1.5 goals in any match, while Sporting CP did so four times out of five. In the second half, Benfica recorded over 1.5 goals in three matches, while Sporting CP did so only once. Goal intervals for Benfica are most frequent between 46-60 minutes (67%), while Sporting CP scores most often in the 0-15 and 61-75 minute intervals (27% each). Benfica concedes most frequently at the end of the match (76-90 minutes, 45%), while Sporting CP concedes in three different intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). These statistics suggest a high probability of a high-scoring match, especially in the second half. Considering the statistics for totals and the average scoring rate of both teams, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Benfica averages 6.6 corners per match, while Sporting CP averages 6. In the last five games, the total of over 9.5 corners was recorded twice by both teams. Among the presented totals, the line closest to the average sum (12.6) is 9.5, but in the odds, there is only the total of 9.5 by frequencies, and among the corner odds, the closest pair - over 9.5 and under 9.5 - is missing. The winner by corners is not highlighted in the odds. Overall, considering the activity of both teams in delivering corners, at least 10 corners can be expected in the match. It is also noteworthy that Benfica earns corners more frequently, while Sporting CP consistently maintains a level above 6 per game, which may be useful for betting on individual corner statistics.