Prediction for match Boca Juniors — Newells Old Boys

Match Analysis: Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys

Boca Juniors and Newells Old Boys face off in Argentina's Liga Profesional on February 1, 2026. The odds for the outcome are as follows: Boca Juniors to win at 1.47, a draw at 3.96, and Newells Old Boys to win at 7.41. The probability distribution is: Boca Juniors - 63.71%, draw - 23.65%, Newells Old Boys - 12.64%. Boca Juniors are clear favorites, but the odds on totals and individual performances suggest a match with limited goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Boca Juniors played as follows: January 29, 2026 - Estudiantes 2-1 Boca Juniors, January 25, 2026 - Boca Juniors 1-0 Deportivo Riestra, December 7, 2025 - Boca Juniors 0-1 Racing. Newells Old Boys' last three matches were: January 28, 2026 - Newells Old Boys 1-1 Independiente, January 24, 2026 - Talleres Cordoba 2-1 Newells Old Boys, November 16, 2025 - Newells Old Boys 0-1 Racing. In their head-to-head on October 5, 2025, Boca Juniors thrashed Newells Old Boys 5-0. Additional stats: Boca Juniors have an average ball possession of 53.2%, 2 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Newells Old Boys have 38.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 3 offsides.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match?

In a five-match series, Boca Juniors have an average total of 1.6 goals per match, and Newells Old Boys 1.8. For goals scored: Boca Juniors - 1 per game, Newells Old Boys - 0.8. They concede 0.6 and 1 respectively. For over 2.5 goals: only 1 out of 5 matches for both teams went over, 4 out of 5 went under. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 out of 5 times for Boca Juniors and 1 out of 5 for Newells Old Boys. In the second half, Boca Juniors had no matches over 1.5, while Newells Old Boys had 1 out of 5. Goal intervals: Boca Juniors often score between 16-30 minutes (33%), Newells Old Boys between 76-90 minutes (67%). For goals conceded: Boca Juniors have three equal intervals - 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each), Newells Old Boys - 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 (33% each). Overall, both teams show low scoring, under-profile on totals, and lack of second-half activity. Against this background, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.68 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Boca Juniors average 6 corners per match, Newells Old Boys - 4.2. In the last 5 games, Boca Juniors had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Newells Old Boys - 2 times. For the 9.5 corners total, the odds are: over 9.5 - 1.90, under 9.5 - 1.84. Boca Juniors are favorites on corners at 1.30. Considering both teams' average corner activity and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks justified, though 9-10 corners is also possible.