Prediction for match Bologna — Aston Villa

Match Analysis: Bologna vs Aston Villa

In the Europa League on April 9, Bologna will face Aston Villa. The odds for an Aston Villa win are 2.46, for Bologna's success - 3.22, and a draw is priced at 3.35. The probabilities of outcomes are distributed as follows: Bologna - 30.58%, draw - 29.39%, Aston Villa - 40.03%. Aston Villa is the favorite by percentage and odds, but the gap is not critical, promising an intriguing contest. The goal total options are also quite varied: over 2.5 goals is at 2.12, under 2.5 is at 1.84. Both teams to score: yes - 1.77, no - 1.96. For individual totals: Bologna over 1.5 goals is at 2.75, Aston Villa over 1.5 goals - 2.33. Double chance 1X is at 1.62, X2 - 1.40, 12 - 1.38.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Bologna shows 50.6% possession, records 2.8 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Aston Villa has 50.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 7.4 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Bologna played as follows: April 5, Cremonese - Bologna 1-2, March 22, Bologna - Lazio 0-2, March 19, Roma - Bologna 3-4. Aston Villa's last three matches were: March 22, Aston Villa - West Ham 2-0, March 19, Aston Villa - Lille 2-0, March 15, Manchester United - Aston Villa 3-1. The last head-to-head match between these teams was on September 25, 2025: Aston Villa - Bologna 1-0.

Teams' Goal Scoring Streaks

In terms of totals over the last 5 matches, both teams have a balance between over and under 2.5: Bologna has 2 out of 5 over 2.5, Aston Villa also has 2 out of 5. The average number of goals in Bologna's matches is 3, while Aston Villa's is 2.8. Bologna scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4, Aston Villa scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4. In the first half, Bologna has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Aston Villa - 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams record 3 out of 5 over 1.5. For goal intervals, Bologna most frequently scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Aston Villa distributes goals evenly among four intervals: 0-15, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each). For goals conceded, Bologna has three intervals with equal 22%: 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75, while Aston Villa concedes half of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes. The overall totals and frequency of goals, as well as second-half activity, suggest considering over 2.25 goals at 1.78 as a logical choice: neither team is prone to a total under, and the average goal statistics and frequency of second-half goals support the likelihood of three goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Bologna averages 4.2 corners per match, Aston Villa - 4. In 5 matches, Bologna has 3 out of 5 over 9.5 corners, Aston Villa - 4 out of 5. The line for total corners closest to the sum of average corners (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.53, under 8.5 - 2.28. For the outcome on corners, Aston Villa is the favorite with odds of 2.04. Overall, both teams regularly deliver 4-5 corners, and the frequency of over 9.5 supports a bet on over 8.5 total corners. Individual corner totals can also be considered, where Bologna consistently maintains above 4, and Aston Villa often approaches these numbers.