Prediction for match Bologna — Parma, 04.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Coppa Italia on December 4th, Bologna will face Parma. Bologna is favored with odds of 1.55, reflecting a 62.76% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 4.10 (23.73%), while Parma's victory is at 7.20 (13.51%). These odds and percentages confirm Bologna's status as the favorite in this matchup. Given the difference in bookmakers' assessments, Parma is considered the underdog, with a moderate chance of a draw.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bologna has maintained 53.2% possession, averaging 11.8 fouls, 2.4 offsides, and 0.8 yellow cards per game. During the same period, Parma has 42% possession, 10.2 fouls, 1.6 offsides, and 2.2 warnings. Bologna's last three matches were: 01.12.2025 - Bologna vs Cremonese 1-3, 27.11.2025 - Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg 4-1, 22.11.2025 - Udinese vs Bologna 0-3. Parma's recent results are: 29.11.2025 - Parma vs Udinese 0-2, 23.11.2025 - Verona vs Parma 1-2, 08.11.2025 - Parma vs Milan 2-2. Their last head-to-head was on 02.11.2025: Parma vs Bologna 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams tend to play high-scoring matches. Bologna has seen over 2.5 goals in three of their last five games, while Parma has done so in four out of five. Bologna's matches average 2.8 goals, and Parma's average is 3.2. Bologna scores 2 goals per game and concedes 0.8, while Parma scores 1.2 and concedes 2. Both teams have shown a trend towards more goals in the second half: Bologna had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 3 out of 5 matches, and Parma the same. In the first half, both teams exceeded 1.5 goals twice out of five. Bologna frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (43%), and Parma between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%). Bologna most often concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), while Parma's most vulnerable periods are between the 16th and 30th, and the 76th and 90th minutes (30% each). This data suggests both teams can maintain scoring throughout the match, especially in the second half. Considering these stats, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.15 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Bologna averages 7.4 corners per match, while Parma averages 3.2. In their last five games, both teams have had two matches go over 9.5 corners. The closest line to their combined average (10.6) is 10.5 corners: over 10.5 corners is at 2.54, under 10.5 is at 1.43. Bologna is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.23. Given Bologna's high activity in corner kicks and Parma's relatively low numbers, it's reasonable to expect Bologna to attack more and earn more corners. A bet on over 8.5 corners at 1.54 is also a safer option.