Prediction for match Bologna — Sassuolo, 28.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Serie A clash between Bologna and Sassuolo on December 28, bookmakers have Bologna as the main contender for victory. The odds for Bologna to win are 1.79, a draw is priced at 3.80, and a Sassuolo win is at 5.16. The probability distribution for the outcomes is as follows: 55.01% for a Bologna win, 25.91% for a draw, and 19.08% for a Sassuolo win. These figures indicate a clear advantage for Bologna according to expectations, though a draw is also considered a possibility. The match promises to be interesting in terms of the battle for points, but the odds clearly favor Bologna.

Team Results and Statistics

Bologna's average stats over the last five games: 49.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per match. Sassuolo's averages: 46.8% possession, 2.2 yellows, 11.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Bologna's last three matches were: 22.12.2025 Napoli - Bologna 2-0, 19.12.2025 Bologna - Inter 4-3, 14.12.2025 Bologna - Juventus 0-1. In the same period, Sassuolo played: 21.12.2025 Sassuolo - Torino 0-1, 14.12.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 2-2, 06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3-1. The last head-to-head match between these teams was on 03.02.2024, ending in a 4-2 victory for Bologna.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Bologna's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred once, while under 2.5 happened four times. For Sassuolo, it's the opposite: 3 out of 5 over 2.5, 2 under. In the first halves, Bologna had 2 out of 5 games with more than 1.5 goals, Sassuolo 3 out of 5. In the second halves, Bologna had over 1.5 goals once, Sassuolo twice. The average total goals in Bologna's five-game series is exactly 2, while for Sassuolo it's 3. Bologna scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes 1.2, while Sassuolo scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6. In terms of goal timing, Bologna most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (60%), and Sassuolo in the first 15 minutes (33%). Bologna most often concedes between 61-75 minutes (60%), Sassuolo in the first 15 minutes (50%). Analyzing this data, it seems reasonable to expect that a total over 2.5 goals at 2.07 looks promising: Sassuolo regularly plays high-scoring matches, and the defense of both teams doesn't seem reliable, especially in the second half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Bologna averages 4.4 corners per match, Sassuolo 4.2. In the five-game series, Bologna had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, Sassuolo 1 out of 5. Among the proposed corner totals, the one closest to the sum of the averages is 8.5: the total over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.70, under 8.5 at 2.07. Bologna is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.30. Considering the average activity of both teams in terms of corner kicks, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified, especially given Bologna's frequency.