Prediction for match Borussia M — St. Pauli

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The Bundesliga clash between Borussia M and St. Pauli is set for March 13, 2026. According to 1X2 odds, a win for Borussia M is priced at 2.05, a draw at 3.47, while St. Pauli is at 4.16. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Borussia M - 47.99%, draw - 28.35%, St. Pauli - 23.65%. Borussia M is seen as the most likely victor, but a draw is also a considerable possibility given its relatively high probability. St. Pauli enters as the underdog, but the gap in chances isn't massive, adding intrigue to the upcoming match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Borussia M averaged 49.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. St. Pauli averaged 33.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. Recently, Borussia M lost to Bayern 1-4 (06.03.2026), beat Union Berlin 1-0 (28.02.2026), and lost to Freiburg 1-2 (22.02.2026). St. Pauli drew 0-0 with Eintracht Frankfurt (08.03.2026), won 1-0 against Hoffenheim (28.02.2026), and defeated Werder 2-1 (22.02.2026). In their last head-to-head on 02.12.2025, St. Pauli defeated Borussia M 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five games, Borussia M has an average total of 2.8 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2 goals per game. St. Pauli averages 2.2 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 recent matches. For first halves, Borussia M had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, and in the second half, 2 out of 5. St. Pauli had over 1.5 goals in the first half 1 out of 5 times, and in the second half, 3 out of 5. Borussia M most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (36%) and concedes late (76th-90th minute, 67%). St. Pauli is most effective early in the second half (46th-60th minute, 38%) and concedes evenly across three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each). Overall, both teams tend to play in matches with goals, as evidenced by their over 2.5 goal records. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.28 seems justified.

Corners in the Match

Borussia M averages 4 corners per game, while St. Pauli averages 3.6. In the last five matches, Borussia M had over 9.5 corners once, while St. Pauli did so four times. The corner totals market closest to the average sum is 7.5-9.5. For a total of 9.5 corners, both quotes are available: over 9.5 at 1.99, under 9.5 at 1.73. For corner outcomes, Borussia M is the favorite with odds of 1.75. Considering St. Pauli often sees high corner totals, betting on over 9.5 corners is a viable option for this match. It's also worth noting that Borussia M typically earns slightly more set pieces, but St. Pauli can keep up the pace in this aspect.