Prediction for match Burgos — Valencia

Match Analysis: Burgos vs Valencia

On January 15th, in the Copa del Rey, Burgos will face Valencia. According to the 1X2 odds, Valencia is the favorite with odds of 2.04 and a 47.56% chance of winning. A draw is set at 3.32 (29.23%), while a victory for Burgos is at 4.18 (23.21%). These percentages highlight Valencia's advantage, but a draw is also a possibility according to bookmakers. The match promises to be intriguing in the battle for a spot in the next round.

Team Results and Statistics

Burgos' recent results: January 10 - Burgos vs Eibar - 1-0, January 3 - Cordoba vs Burgos - 2-0, December 21 - Burgos vs Real Zaragoza - 1-1. Valencia's recent games: January 10 - Valencia vs Elche - 1-1, January 3 - Celta vs Valencia - 4-1, December 19 - Valencia vs Mallorca - 1-1. Over the last five matches, Burgos has averaged 43% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Valencia has averaged 57.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Valencia significantly controls more possession, while Burgos commits more fouls. In terms of corners over the last five games, Burgos averages 3.4, while Valencia averages 7.2 per game. This could impact the match dynamics.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Burgos has an average total of 2.4 goals, while Valencia's is 2.8. Burgos scores 1.4 and concedes 1.0, while Valencia scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6 on average. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of their last 5 matches, and under in 3. In the first half, Burgos has over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, and Valencia in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Burgos has over 1.5 in only 1 out of 5, while Valencia has 3 out of 5. Burgos most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), while Valencia scores late (76-90, 38%). For goals conceded, Burgos struggles between the 31st and 45th minute (40%), and Valencia between the 61st and 75th minute (43%). Overall, neither team consistently goes over 2.5 goals, but low-scoring games don't dominate either. A bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.65 seems optimal, considering the balance between scoring and frequency of unders.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Burgos averages 3.4 corners over 5 matches, while Valencia averages 7.2. For over 9.5 corners, Burgos has 2 out of 5, and Valencia 4 out of 5. The total closest to their combined average (10.6) is set at 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 2.09, under 9.5 is at 1.63. In the corners market, Valencia is the favorite with odds of 1.72. Valencia consistently delivers many corners, while Burgos rarely exceeds 4, making a bet on over 9.5 corners or Valencia to win the corner count logical. Notably, Valencia has over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches, confirming their flank activity.