Prediction for match Burgos — Real Zaragoza

Match Analysis: Burgos vs Real Zaragoza

In the Segunda on December 21, Burgos will face Real Zaragoza. The odds for a Burgos win are set at 2.12, a draw at 3.03, and a Real Zaragoza victory at 4.16. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: 45.26% for a Burgos win, 31.67% for a draw, and 23.07% for Real Zaragoza. The closest odds on totals are: under 2.25 goals at 1.50 and over 1.5 goals at 1.61. Both teams to score: no is at 1.57, yes is at 2.26. Overall, the line suggests cautious expectations for scoring and a moderate advantage for Burgos.

Team Results and Statistics

In terms of ball possession over the last 5 matches, Burgos averages 45.8%, while Real Zaragoza averages 54%. The average number of yellow cards: 3.6 for Burgos and 3.4 for Real Zaragoza. The difference in fouls is noticeable: Burgos commits 15.8 fouls, Real Zaragoza 10.8. Offsides: 3.4 for Burgos, 2.6 for Real Zaragoza. In Burgos' last three matches: December 18 - Burgos 3-1 Getafe, December 14 - Almeria 1-2 Burgos, December 8 - Burgos 0-1 Albacete. For Real Zaragoza: December 13 - Real Zaragoza 1-2 Cadiz, December 8 - Malaga 1-1 Real Zaragoza, November 30 - Real Zaragoza 3-2 Leganes. In the head-to-head on December 4, Real Zaragoza lost to Burgos 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Burgos has an average of 2.2 goals per match, while Real Zaragoza has 2.8. Burgos scores 1 goal per game, Real Zaragoza 1.6, both concede 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Burgos has 2 out of 5, Real Zaragoza 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals: both have 4 out of 5 games. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, in the second half - 1 time for Burgos, 2 times for Real Zaragoza. Burgos most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (40%), while Real Zaragoza scores between the 16th and 30th (38%). In terms of goals conceded: Burgos most often concedes between the 31st and 45th minute (43%), Real Zaragoza between the 76th and 90th (50%). The overall figures and totals frequencies suggest moderate scoring but with a focus on cautious play, supporting the choice of a bet on under 2.25 goals at 1.50.

Corner Totals Analysis

The average number of corners for both teams over 5 matches is the same - 4.4. For over 9.5 corners: Burgos and Real Zaragoza have 2 out of 5 matches. Among the odds on total corners, there's a pair: over 8.5 at 1.61, under 8.5 at 2.09. A win on corners for Burgos is at 1.62. In the current situation, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners closer to 8.5, as both teams rarely exceed this number. Also, note the moderate number of corners in recent matches.