Prediction for match Cagliari — Roma, 07.12.2025

Match Analysis: Cagliari vs Roma

On December 7, 2025, in Serie A, Cagliari will face Roma. According to the 1X2 odds, Roma is the favorite with odds of 1.75, reflecting a 56.27% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.78 with a 26.05% chance, while a Cagliari victory is at 5.57 with a 17.68% probability. This setup highlights Roma's advantage in the bookmakers' expectations and probability distribution. In this match, Roma is expected to dictate the pace, while Cagliari will likely play defensively.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Cagliari faced Napoli (December 3, 10-9), Juventus (November 29, 2-1), and Genoa (November 22, 3-3). Roma played against Napoli (November 30, 0-1), Midtjylland (November 27, 2-1), and Cremonese (November 23, 1-3). Over the last five games, Cagliari averaged 41% possession, 16.8 fouls, 0.6 offsides, and 2.8 yellow cards per match. Roma had higher possession at 55.6%, with 14.6 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and 2 yellow cards. In head-to-head encounters, the last match was on March 16, 2025: Roma vs Cagliari 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Cagliari's average total goals were 2.6, while Roma's were 2.4. Cagliari scores 1 goal per game and concedes 1.6, whereas Roma scores 1.8 and concedes only 0.6. Both teams have hit over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under in 3. In the first half, Cagliari had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, while Roma had 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams went over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5. Cagliari most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%). Roma scores most often at the end of the match - 76th to 90th minutes (40%) and concedes in two intervals: 31st to 45th and 61st to 75th minutes (29% each). Overall, Cagliari's scoring is not very high, while Roma has a significantly better goal balance. Considering both teams' lack of significant over 2.5 totals and Roma's solid defense, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: No" at 1.70 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Cagliari earns 4 corners per match, while Roma earns 4.8. In the last five matches, Cagliari had over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5, and Roma in 1 out of 5. Looking at the odds, for a total of 8.5 corners, the odds are: over 8.5 - 1.58, under 8.5 - 2.17. Roma's victory on corners is priced at 1.53. In this situation, betting on over 8.5 corners is worth considering, as both teams average around 9-10 corners per game. Additionally, Roma looks better on corners, considering the average differences and the odds on their success.