Prediction for match Cagliari — Pisa

Match Analysis: Cagliari vs Pisa

On December 21, in the Italian Serie A, Cagliari will face Pisa. The odds for a Cagliari win are 2.26, a draw is at 3.32, and a Pisa victory is at 3.68. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Cagliari 43.58%, draw 29.66%, Pisa 26.76%. Cagliari has the highest percentage, making them the favorites according to the bookmakers. However, the gap between the teams isn't significant, and a draw is also considered quite possible.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cagliari has an average possession of 44%, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 16.8 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides per game. Pisa's stats are similar: 44.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their recent matches, Cagliari played as follows: December 13, Atalanta 2-1 Cagliari, December 7, Cagliari 1-0 Roma, December 3, Napoli 10-9 Cagliari. Pisa's recent matches were: December 12, Lecce 1-0 Pisa, December 8, Pisa 0-1 Parma, November 30, Pisa 0-2 Inter. Their last head-to-head was on April 10, 2023: Pisa 0-0 Cagliari. Both teams play at an average pace, not standing out in terms of fouls or cards.

Goal Scoring Series

In their last five games, Cagliari has an average total of 3 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per match. Pisa's numbers are lower: an average of 1.8 goals, with 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. Cagliari has gone over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Pisa only once. In the first half, Cagliari went over 1.5 goals twice in five games, Pisa once. In the second half, both teams went over 1.5 goals twice out of five. Cagliari most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%), while Pisa scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%). Cagliari is vulnerable between the 16th and 30th and the 61st and 75th minutes (33% each), while Pisa concedes most often in the final minutes (76th-90th, 40%). Overall, Cagliari tends to go over, while Pisa shows low scoring, reducing the likelihood of many goals. The total over 1.75 is priced at 1.54, and over 2.0 at 1.74. The main prediction is under 2.5 goals at 1.65, since Pisa has only one over 2.5 in five matches, and their average total goals are below two. Cagliari is also not always stable in attack, and both teams rarely have high-scoring halves.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last 5 matches, Cagliari averages 4.6 corners, Pisa 3.4. For the total over 9.5 corners, Cagliari has 0 out of 5, Pisa 2 out of 5. The combined average for both teams is 8 corners per game. The closest line for corner totals is over 8.0 (1.43) and under 8.0 (2.60). There's also a line for over 9.0 at 1.78 and under 9.0 at 1.97. Cagliari is favored to win on corners with odds of 1.58. It's logical to consider a bet on corner totals closer to 8-9, as both teams average within this range. Cagliari takes more corners, which is reflected in the odds for a win on corners.