Prediction for match Carrarese — Empoli, 23.01.2026

Match Analysis: Carrarese vs Empoli

In Serie B on January 23, Carrarese will face Empoli. According to the 1X2 odds, Carrarese is at 2.36, a draw is at 2.92, and Empoli is at 3.31. Carrarese has a 39.66% chance of winning, a draw is at 32.06%, and Empoli's chances are at 28.28%. These figures suggest Carrarese is slightly favored, but the gap is not significant, as confirmed by the odds. Interestingly, neither side is a clear favorite, and the percentage distribution is quite balanced. This balance indicates a potentially tight match with cautious attacking play from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Carrarese has an average possession of 47%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. Empoli maintains 47.6% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. In Carrarese's last three matches: on January 17, Avellino - Carrarese 1-2, January 10, Carrarese - Bari 1-0, December 27, Carrarese - Mantova 0-0. For Empoli: January 17, Empoli - Südtirol 0-1, January 10, Cesena - Empoli 0-1, December 27, Empoli - Frosinone 1-1. In their head-to-head on September 28, Empoli and Carrarese played to a 2-2 draw. These results show that both teams are capable of winning or drawing, and Empoli has been involved in low-scoring matches recently.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Carrarese averages 2.6 goals per game over five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Empoli's average total is 1.4, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8 per match. Carrarese has hit over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Empoli in 0 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Carrarese 2 times out of 5, for Empoli 1 time out of 5. In the second half, Carrarese has 2 occurrences of over 1.5, while Empoli has none. Carrarese most frequently scores between the 46th-60th minute (33%) and concedes between the 61st-75th minute (75%). Empoli spreads its goals across three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 minutes (33% each), and concedes most often between the 16th-30th minute (50%). Considering Empoli's low scoring, their defensive profile, and the fact that Carrarese only has 3 out of 5 over 2.5, under 2.5 goals at 1.70 seems a logical choice. This is supported by both teams' average scoring rates, especially given Empoli's average of less than one goal per game.

Corner Totals Analysis

Carrarese averages 6.2 corners per match, Empoli 4.2, totaling 10.4. In the last 5 games, Carrarese has exceeded 9.5 corners 5 times, Empoli 3 times. The line closest to the average total is 9.5: over 9.5 corners - 1.78, under 9.5 - 1.90. Carrarese is favored for corner outcomes at 1.70. Given both teams' average activity and frequent occurrences of over 9.5, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Carrarese consistently delivers many corners, and Empoli can also keep up the pace in this regard.