Prediction for match Casa Pia — Santa Clara

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Santa Clara

In the Primeira Liga on April 18, Casa Pia will face Santa Clara. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Santa Clara's victory is priced at 2.17, a draw at 3.20, and a win for Casa Pia at 3.86. In terms of probability, Santa Clara has a 44.64% chance of winning, a draw is at 30.27%, and Casa Pia at 25.09%. Santa Clara is considered the favorite, which is supported by both the odds and probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Casa Pia lost to Alverca 1-3 on April 12, drew with Benfica 1-1 on April 6, and lost to Estrela 0-4 on March 20. Santa Clara lost to Rio Ave 0-2 on April 11, was defeated by Sporting Lisbon 2-4 on April 3, and beat Gil Vicente 1-0 on March 21. Over the last five matches, Casa Pia averages 36.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 17.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Santa Clara averages 45.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 18 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on December 6, 2025, Santa Clara defeated Casa Pia 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have an average total of 2.4 goals. Casa Pia scores 0.6 and concedes 1.8, while Santa Clara scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, Casa Pia has 2 out of 5, and Santa Clara has 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, both teams have 2 out of 5, similarly for the second half. Casa Pia most often scores in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (30% each), while Santa Clara scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each). Casa Pia most frequently concedes in the 61-75 minute interval (67%), and Santa Clara also in this segment (40%). Overall, neither team shows a strong over-profile, and Casa Pia's scoring stats are quite low. In this scenario, betting on under 2.5 goals seems logical, considering both teams have 3 out of 5 matches under 2.5, and their average goals do not exceed 2.4 per game.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners for Casa Pia is 4.2, and for Santa Clara, it's 4.4 per game. For over 9.5 corners, Casa Pia has 2 out of 5, and Santa Clara 3 out of 5. Among the presented corner totals, 8.5 is closest to the sum of the average values, but only 9.5 is available in the line. Both teams have passes on this total, but not dominantly. In such a situation, betting on a corner total closer to 9.5 seems justified, but without a clear skew. According to additional statistical data, Casa Pia and Santa Clara receive between 4 to 5 corners per match, which could lead to a total around 9-10. Overall, the match does not promise a large number of corners, but neither does it show a low tendency.