Prediction for match Castellón — Granada

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Segunda on April 6, Castellón will face Granada. Bookmakers have marked Castellón as the favorite: a win for them is at 1.67, a draw is at 4.01, and Granada's victory is at 5.19. Probability percentages are distributed as follows: Castellón - 57.53%, draw - 23.96%, Granada - 18.51%. Among goal totals, the option for over 2.25 at 1.52 is the most interesting, while over 2.5 is at 1.78. Both teams to score is at 1.73, and the opposite outcome is at 2.00. For individual totals: Castellón over 1.5 is at 1.69, Granada over 0.5 is at 1.51. For double chance, 1X is at 1.17, X2 is at 2.24, 12 is at 1.25. The first half total over 1 is at 1.72. The option for the second half total over 1.5 is at 1.95.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Castellón had an average possession of 57.4%, received 3.6 yellow cards, committed 12.4 fouls, and had 2.4 offsides per match. Granada, in the same period, had 43.6% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, recorded 11.6 fouls, and had 2.4 offsides. Castellón's last three matches were: April 2 Castellón - Almería 2-0, March 28 Albacete - Castellón 1-1, March 23 Castellón - Cultural Leonesa 1-1. Granada's last three encounters: April 2 Las Palmas - Granada 2-0, March 28 Granada - Huesca 4-2, March 22 Real Sociedad II - Granada 0-2. In head-to-head meetings, the last game was on January 11: Granada - Castellón 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five games, Castellón has an average total of 3.4 goals, while Granada's is 2.8. Castellón scores 1.4 and concedes 2 goals per game, whereas Granada scores 1.8 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals, Castellón hit the mark 2 out of 5 times, and Granada 1 out of 5. The first half over 1.5 was achieved 3 times by both teams, in the second half Castellón 3, Granada 2. For goal intervals: Castellón scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (33%), and Granada between 16-30 (43%). For goals conceded: Castellón concedes most often between 31-45 (40%), Granada in the first 30 minutes (29% in each of the two intervals). The statistics suggest regular goals from both teams, and the average totals and frequency of over 2.5 goals suggest that betting on over 2.25 at 1.52 is optimal. This choice is further supported by both teams' decent scoring records, and Castellón's tendency to concede. The timing distribution also indicates that both teams can score both before and after halftime, making over 2.25 goals the most logical choice for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Castellón averages 5.6 corners per match, while Granada averages 4. In the last five matches, Castellón had over 9.5 corners 2 times, and Granada 3 times. Among corner totals, the line closest to the sum of average values (9.6) is 9.5, where over is at 1.86, and under is at 1.88. In corner outcome betting, Castellón is favored with odds of 1.30. Considering both teams' stats, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially given that both teams average nearly 10 corners per game. A bet on Castellón to win in corners is also worth considering, given their average and favored status in this component.