Prediction for match Castellón — Leganes, 16.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda, Castellón will face Leganes on January 16. The odds for a Castellón win are 1.75, a draw is at 3.86, and a Leganes victory is at 4.74. The probabilities are: Castellón is rated at 54.87%, a draw at 24.88%, and Leganes at 20.26%. Castellón is the favorite according to both odds and percentages, reflecting analysts' confidence in their strength at this point in the season. The advantage of Castellón is evident from both the probabilities and the odds, which is confirmed by the current form of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Castellón shows 56.8% ball possession, averages 3 yellow cards, commits 14.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Over the same period, Leganes holds the ball 51.4% of the time, receives 2.8 yellows, commits 12 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Recent results for Castellón: January 11 - Granada vs Castellón 0-0, January 3 - Castellón vs Huesca 4-1, December 21 - Cadiz vs Castellón 2-0. For Leganes: January 11 - Leganes vs Real Valladolid 3-0, January 4 - Albacete vs Leganes 1-3, December 20 - Leganes vs Sporting Gijon 0-1. In their head-to-head on September 29, 2025, Leganes lost to Castellón 0-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in Castellón vs Leganes Match

In a five-match series, Castellón averages 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, with a total of 3. Leganes, over the same period, scores 1.4, concedes 0.6, with a total of 2. For over 2.5 goals: Castellón has 3 out of 5 matches over, Leganes 2 out of 5. By halves, Castellón has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second. Leganes is less prolific in both halves: 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first and 2 out of 5 in the second. Castellón most often scores between 61-75 minutes (30%), while Leganes scores most in the first 15 minutes (33%). In terms of conceding, Castellón often concedes late (76-90, 40%), and Leganes also concedes late (76-90, 67%). Overall, Castellón tends towards overs, and Leganes isn't strictly under, making a bet on over 2.5 goals reasonable. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.81, and Castellón's recent matches support this choice: 3 out of 5 games went over this total, and the team's average total goals are 3. Leganes isn't highly prolific but doesn't go deep into unders, further supporting the case for an over bet.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Castellón averages 6.6 corners per match, Leganes 5.2, totaling 11.8. For over 9.5 corners: Castellón has 3 out of 5 over, Leganes 4 out of 5. Among the presented corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.90, under 9.5 at 1.78. Castellón is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.29. Considering the average activity of both teams and frequent over totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, with Castellón often leading in corner count.