Prediction for match Celta — Lille

Match Analysis: Celta vs Lille

On January 22, 2026, Celta will face Lille in the Europa League. According to the 1X2 odds, Celta is the favorite, with their victory priced at 2.49, reflecting a 39.53% probability. Lille is at 3.00 (32.81%), and a draw is offered at 3.56 with a 27.65% probability. The most appealing prediction seems to be a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.90, considering the attacking potential and recent performances of both teams. An open game with a focus on offensive play is expected from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Celta has maintained an average possession of 47.6%, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 11 fouls, and been caught offside 2.8 times per game. Lille holds the ball 49.2% of the time, averages 1.4 yellow cards, 6.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Celta defeated Rayo Vallecano 3-0 (18.01.2026), beat Sevilla 1-0 (12.01.2026), and thrashed Valencia 4-1 (03.01.2026). Lille lost to PSG 0-3 (16.01.2026), was defeated by Lyon 1-2 (11.01.2026), and was beaten by Rennes 0-2 (03.01.2026). In their head-to-head match on July 30, 2024, Lille defeated Celta 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Celta's average total goals is 2.6, while Lille's is higher at 3.2. Celta scores an average of 2 goals per game and concedes 0.6, while Lille scores 1 and concedes 2.2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 matches. In terms of halves, Celta has over 1.5 goals in the first half in 1 out of 5 matches and over 1.5 in the second half in 3 out of 5. Lille has the same: 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Celta most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (44%), while Lille scores most often between the 61st and 75th minute (33%). Celta concedes most frequently between the 61st and 75th minute (60%), while Lille concedes towards the end from the 76th to the 90th minute (38%). These data confirm that both teams tend to play high-scoring games, especially in the second half. Given the average scoring rate and the frequency of over 2.5 goals, betting on over 2.5 goals seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Celta averages 3.8 corners per match, while Lille averages 3.6. In their last 5 games, both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. The line closest to the average sum of corners is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.73, under 8.5 at 1.99. In terms of corner outcomes, Celta is favored with odds of 2.03. A large number of corners is not expected, as neither team stands out in this metric, and a bet on over 8.5 corners appears the most justified based on recent matches' statistics.