Prediction for match Celta — Valencia, 03.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In La Liga on January 3rd, Celta will face Valencia. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.05 for a Celta win, 3.45 for a draw, and 4.21 for a Valencia victory. According to the probabilities, the chances are distributed as follows: Celta - 48.05%, draw - 28.55%, Valencia - 23.40%. Celta is the favorite, but the percentage difference is not overwhelming, which could add intrigue to this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Celta has an average possession of 50.2%, with 2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. In the same period, Valencia shows 60% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Celta's last three matches were: December 20, 2025 - Real Oviedo vs Celta 0-0, December 17, 2025 - Albacete vs Celta 3-2, December 14, 2025 - Celta vs Athletic Bilbao 2-0. Valencia's recent three encounters: December 19, 2025 - Valencia vs Mallorca 1-1, December 16, 2025 - Sporting Gijón vs Valencia 0-2, December 13, 2025 - Atlético Madrid vs Valencia 2-1. Their last head-to-head was on February 2, 2025: Valencia vs Celta 2-1.

Goal Scoring Trends

In the last five matches, both teams had two games with over 2.5 goals and three with under 2.5. Celta averages 2.2 total goals per match, while Valencia averages 2.4. Both teams score an average of 1.4 goals, but Celta concedes less - 0.8 compared to Valencia's 1. Neither team has exceeded 1.5 total goals in the first half (0 out of 5), but in the second half, Celta has exceeded 1.5 total goals four times out of five, Valencia twice. Celta most frequently scores between the 16th-30th minute (40%) and 46th-60th minute (40%), while Valencia scores most often between the 16th-30th minute (40%). Celta concedes most between the 61st-75th minute (71%), Valencia between the 46th-60th minute (33%). Given that both teams have similar scoring stats but Celta is more solid defensively, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.79 seems justified. Supporting this choice is the fact that three out of the last five matches for both teams ended with under 2.5 goals, and the first half is consistently low-scoring.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Celta earns 2.6 corners per game, while Valencia earns 6.8. In the last five matches, Celta had only one game with over 9.5 corners, whereas Valencia had four out of five. The closest average total is 9.5, with both options available: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.05, under 9.5 at 1.72. Celta is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.58. Considering Valencia's high activity on crosses and Celta's low numbers, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, especially if Valencia attacks frequently from the flanks.