Prediction for match Cerezo Osaka — Avispa Fukuoka

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Avispa Fukuoka on May 3, 2026, bookmakers favor Cerezo Osaka. The odds for their win are 2.02, a draw is priced at 3.48, and an Avispa Fukuoka victory stands at 3.52. Looking at the probability distribution, Cerezo Osaka has a 46.42% chance of winning, Avispa Fukuoka has 26.64%, and a draw is at 26.94%. Therefore, Cerezo Osaka holds the highest chances for success, but both a draw and an Avispa Fukuoka win are not unlikely according to the percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Cerezo Osaka has averaged 46.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Avispa Fukuoka appears slightly less disciplined with 43.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Cerezo Osaka performed as follows: 29.04.2026 - Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka - 2-4, 25.04.2026 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka - 2-1, 18.04.2026 - Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga - 3-0. Avispa Fukuoka's last three matches were: 29.04.2026 - Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - 6-5, 25.04.2026 - Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka - 2-0, 22.04.2026 - Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka - 1-2. In their last head-to-head on February 15, 2026, Avispa Fukuoka lost to Cerezo Osaka 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five-match series, Cerezo Osaka has an average total of 2 goals per game, while Avispa Fukuoka averages 2.8. Both teams have had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. Individually, Cerezo Osaka scores 1 and concedes 1 on average, while Avispa Fukuoka scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4. In the first half, Cerezo Osaka has not had any matches with over 1.5 goals (0 out of 5), while Avispa Fukuoka has had 3 out of 5. In the second half, Cerezo Osaka recorded more than 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Avispa Fukuoka in 1 out of 5. Cerezo Osaka most frequently scores between the 61-75 and 76-90 minute marks (33% each), while Avispa Fukuoka scores most often between 61-75 minutes (38%). Cerezo Osaka concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (50%) and towards the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, also 50%). Avispa Fukuoka concedes most frequently between 31-45 minutes (50%). Considering both teams have played over 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches, and Avispa Fukuoka's averages are higher, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.90 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Cerezo Osaka averages 3.6 corners per game, Avispa Fukuoka 5.4. In the last five matches, Cerezo Osaka had over 9.5 corners in 2 games, Avispa Fukuoka in 3. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5 corners, the outcomes are: over 9.5 at 1.77, under 9.5 at 1.92. Cerezo Osaka is favored on corners with odds of 1.69. Combined, both teams average 9 corners per match, which is close to the chosen total. Considering Avispa Fukuoka's attacking activity and Cerezo Osaka's consistent corner deliveries, betting on over 9.5 corners is logical.