Prediction for match Tokyo Verdy — Kashiwa Reysol

Match Analysis: Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol

On May 3rd, in the J1 League, Tokyo Verdy will face Kashiwa Reysol. Bookmakers have Kashiwa Reysol as the favorites with odds of 1.94 for their win, 3.28 for a draw, and 4.04 for a Tokyo Verdy victory. The estimated probabilities are: Kashiwa Reysol - 48.27%, draw - 28.55%, Tokyo Verdy - 23.18%. Therefore, Kashiwa Reysol's chances of winning are almost double those of Tokyo Verdy, with a draw also seen as quite likely.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Tokyo Verdy defeated Kashima Antlers (2-1), won against JEF United Chiba (1-0), and beat Urawa Red Diamonds (4-2). Kashiwa Reysol lost to FC Tokyo (1-3), Kashima Antlers (0-1), and Mito Hollyhock (0-2) in their last three games. In their head-to-head match on February 15, 2026, Kashiwa Reysol lost to Tokyo Verdy 1-2. Over a five-match period: Tokyo Verdy has an average possession of 41%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Kashiwa Reysol has 53% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides, indicating a more active play from Tokyo Verdy and better ball control by Kashiwa Reysol.

Goals Statistics

Both teams have an average of 2.2 goals scored and conceded over their last five matches. Tokyo Verdy scores 1.2 and concedes 1 goal per game, while Kashiwa Reysol scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4. Regarding over 2.5 goals: 2 out of 5 matches for both teams ended with three or more goals, and 3 out of 5 with fewer. In the first half, Tokyo Verdy has 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Kashiwa Reysol has none. In the second half, Tokyo Verdy has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, while Kashiwa Reysol has 3 out of 5. Tokyo Verdy most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%), and Kashiwa Reysol towards the end, from the 76th to the 90th minute (43%). In terms of goals conceded: Tokyo Verdy is most vulnerable between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%), and Kashiwa Reysol between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%). Considering the low averages in goals scored and conceded, and the frequent occurrence of under 2.5 goals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.56 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Tokyo Verdy and Kashiwa Reysol average 5.2 corners per game over their last five matches. For over 9.5 corners: only 1 out of 5 matches for Tokyo Verdy ended over, and 2 out of 5 for Kashiwa Reysol. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.86, under 9.5 is at 1.82. Kashiwa Reysol is favored in corners with odds of 1.66. Given the average values and frequencies, it makes sense to consider a corner total around 9.5, with Kashiwa Reysol having an edge in corners.